Ozzie Gooen

I'm currently researching forecasting and epistemics as part of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.

Posts

Open Technical Challenges around Probabilistic Programs and Javascript
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-08-26 | +39 | 0 comments
Using Points to Rate Different Kinds of Evidence
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-08-25 | +33 | 0 comments
Announcing Squiggle Hub
by Ozzie Gooen, Slava Matyukhn @ 2023-08-05 | +131 | 0 comments
Downsides of Small Organizations in EA
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-06-24 | +174 | 0 comments
Relative Value Functions: A Flexible New Format for Value Estimation
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-05-18 | +57 | 0 comments
Thinking of Convenience as an Economic Term
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-05-05 | +28 | 0 comments
Patrick Gruban on Effective Altruism Germany and Nonprofit Boards in EA
by Ozzie Gooen, Patrick Gruban @ 2023-05-05 | +37 | 0 comments
Owain Evans on LLMs, Truthful AI, AI Composition, and More
by Ozzie Gooen, Owain_Evans @ 2023-05-02 | +21 | 0 comments
Accuracy Agreements: A Flexible Alternative to Prediction Markets
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-04-20 | +37 | 0 comments
Who is Uncomfortable Critiquing Who, Around EA?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-02-24 | +150 | 0 comments
Select Challenges with Criticism & Evaluation Around EA
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-02-10 | +111 | 0 comments
Eli Lifland on Navigating the AI Alignment Landscape
by Ozzie Gooen, elifland @ 2023-02-01 | +48 | 0 comments
What improvements should be made to improve EA discussion on heated topics?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-01-16 | +54 | 0 comments
EA could use better internal communications infrastructure
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-01-12 | +67 | 0 comments
14 Ways ML Could Improve Informative Video
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-01-10 | +8 | 0 comments
Why does Academia+EA produce so few online videos?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2023-01-10 | +24 | 0 comments
Misha Yagudin and Ozzie Gooen Discuss LLMs and Effective Altruism
by Ozzie Gooen, Misha_Yagudin @ 2023-01-06 | +47 | 0 comments
$1,000 Squiggle Experimentation Challenge
by Ozzie Gooen, NunoSempere @ 2022-08-04 | +61 | 0 comments
Announcing Squiggle: Early Access
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2022-08-03 | +147 | 0 comments
EA/Rationalist Safety Nets: Promising, but Arduous
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-29 | +69 | 0 comments
13 Very Different Stances on AGI
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-27 | +84 | 0 comments
Can/should we automate most human decisions, pre-AGI?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-26 | +25 | 0 comments
Why don't governments seem to mind that companies are explicitly trying to make...
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-23 | +82 | 0 comments
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-09 | +210 | 0 comments
The "feeling of meaning" vs. "objective meaning"
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-12-05 | +21 | 0 comments
Opportunity Costs of Technical Talent: Intuition and (Simple) Implications
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-11-19 | +46 | 0 comments
Ambitious Altruistic Software Engineering Efforts: Opportunities and Benefits
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-11-17 | +109 | 0 comments
Improve delegation abilities today, delegate heavily tomorrow
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-11-11 | +57 | 0 comments
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-11-05 | +91 | 0 comments
Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-10-18 | +87 | 0 comments
Contribution-Adjusted Utility Maximization Funds: An Early Proposal
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2021-08-03 | +14 | 0 comments
Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize
by Ozzie Gooen, NunoSempere @ 2020-11-15 | +64 | 0 comments
Open Communication in the Days of Malicious Online Actors
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-10-06 | +38 | 0 comments
Ozzie Gooen's Quick takes
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-09-22 | +7 | 0 comments
Expansive translations: considerations and possibilities
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-09-18 | +12 | 0 comments
How to estimate the EV of general intellectual progress
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-01-27 | +40 | 0 comments
What are words, phrases, or topics that you think most EAs don't know about but...
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-01-21 | +30 | 0 comments
Best units for comparing personal interventions?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-01-13 | +18 | 0 comments
Predictably Predictable Futures Talk: Using Expected Loss & Prediction...
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2020-01-08 | +10 | 0 comments
Introducing Foretold.io: A New Open-Source Prediction Registry
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2019-10-16 | +48 | 0 comments
What types of organizations would be ideal to be distributing funding for EA?...
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2019-08-04 | +31 | 0 comments
What new EA project or org would you like to see created in the next 3 years?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2019-06-11 | +75 | 0 comments
Impact Prizes as an alternative to Certificates of Impact
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2019-02-20 | +39 | 0 comments
Discussion: What are good legal entity structures for new EA groups?
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2018-12-18 | +14 | 0 comments
Current AI Safety Roles for Software Engineers
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2018-11-09 | +11 | 0 comments
Prediction-Augmented Evaluation Systems
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2018-11-09 | +6 | 0 comments
Emotion Inclusive Altruism vs. Emotion Exclusive Altruism
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2016-12-21 | +3 | 0 comments
Ideas for Future Effective Altruism Conferences: Open Thread
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2016-08-13 | +2 | 0 comments
Guesstimate: An app for making decisions with confidence (intervals)
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-12-30 | +62 | 0 comments
Is there a hedonistic utilitarian case for Cryonics? (Discuss)
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-08-27 | +9 | 0 comments
EA Assembly & Call for Speakers
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-08-18 | +8 | 0 comments
Deep Dive with Matthew Gentzel on Recently Effective Altruism Policy Analytics
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-07-20 | +4 | 0 comments
The first .impact Workathon
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-07-09 | +6 | 0 comments
FAI Research Constraints and AGI Side Effects
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2015-06-07 | +2 | 0 comments
Gratipay for Funding EAs
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2014-12-24 | +5 | 0 comments
Why "Changing the World" is a Horrible Phrase
by Ozzie Gooen @ 2014-12-24 | +7 | 0 comments