christian

Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool
by christian @ 2024-12-20 | +8 | 0 comments

Forecast With GiveWell
by christian @ 2024-10-23 | +35 | 0 comments

Metaculus Is Open Source
by christian @ 2024-10-07 | +33 | 0 comments

'Scale is All You Need' — Writeup of a Synthetic Biology Workshop With the...
by christian, Connor McCormick @ 2024-09-05 | +6 | 0 comments

Metaculus's 'Minitaculus' Experiments — Collaborate With Us
by christian @ 2024-08-26 | +10 | 0 comments

OpenAI and Anthropic Donate Credits for AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
by christian @ 2024-07-17 | +2 | 0 comments

Launching the Respiratory Outlook 2024/25 Forecasting Series
by christian, Ryan Beck @ 2024-07-17 | +8 | 0 comments

Launching the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series Q3 | $30k in Prizes
by christian @ 2024-07-08 | +17 | 0 comments

Open Sourcing Metaculus
by christian, Deger Turan @ 2024-06-25 | +75 | 0 comments

Announcing the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series | July 8, $120k in Prizes
by christian @ 2024-06-19 | +50 | 0 comments

Metaculus: Q2 Cup Kickoff + Q1 Winners
by christian @ 2024-04-10 | +9 | 0 comments

Forecast in the Understanding AI Series With Timothy B. Lee
by christian @ 2024-03-28 | +12 | 0 comments

AI Benchmarks Series — Metaculus Questions on Evaluations of AI Models Against...
by christian @ 2024-03-27 | +10 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Question Series With Bryan Caplan
by christian @ 2024-03-21 | +16 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Future of AI Series, Based on Research Questions by Arb
by christian, Will Aldred @ 2024-03-13 | +34 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces Better Question Discovery
by christian @ 2024-03-01 | +5 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup for Current Events-Focused,...
by christian @ 2024-01-09 | +6 | 0 comments

Metaculus Hosts ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
by christian @ 2024-01-01 | +16 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces Multiple Choice Questions
by christian @ 2023-12-20 | +8 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Chinese AI Chips Tournament, Supporting Institute for AI...
by christian, Will Aldred @ 2023-12-06 | +27 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces New Forecast Scores, New Leaderboard & Medals
by christian @ 2023-11-20 | +13 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces AI-Powered Community Insights to Reveal Factors Driving...
by christian @ 2023-11-10 | +9 | 0 comments

Metaculus's New Sidebar Helps You Find Forecasts Faster
by christian @ 2023-11-08 | +8 | 0 comments

Metaculus Presents: Does Generative AI Infringe Copyright?
by christian @ 2023-11-06 | +5 | 0 comments

[Event] Metaculus Presents: Transformative Science at Startup Speed
by christian @ 2023-11-01 | +6 | 0 comments

Metaculus Presents: Transformative Science at Startup Speed
by christian @ 2023-10-31 | +5 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Conditional Cup to Explore Linked Forecasts
by christian @ 2023-10-18 | +11 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Space Technology & Climate Forecasting Initiative
by christian @ 2023-10-11 | +11 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Q4 Quarterly Cup!
by christian @ 2023-10-09 | +8 | 0 comments

Metaculus Announces Forecasting Tournament to Evaluate Focused Research...
by christian @ 2023-10-03 | +21 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches 2023/2024 FluSight Challenge Supporting CDC, $5K in Prizes
by christian @ 2023-09-27 | +9 | 0 comments

Metaculus Announces Winners of the Alt-Protein Forecasting Tournament
by christian, Ryan Beck @ 2023-09-15 | +25 | 0 comments

Forecast Which Psychology Studies Replicate With Metaculus for the Transparent...
by christian @ 2023-08-29 | +21 | 0 comments

Share Your Feedback and Help Us Refine Metaculus’s Scoring System
by christian @ 2023-08-07 | +15 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Series 'Shared Vision: Pro Forecaster Essays on Predicting the...
by christian @ 2023-07-13 | +16 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Quarterly Cup Tournament
by christian @ 2023-07-06 | +13 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Forecast Fridays: July 14th, Live Forecasting in the Quarterly Cup...
by christian @ 2023-07-06 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Forecast Friday, June 23 at 12pm ET
by christian @ 2023-06-23 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus Presents — View From the Enterprise Suite: How Applied AI Governance...
by christian @ 2023-06-20 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces Conditional Continuous Questions to Explore Relationships...
by christian @ 2023-05-19 | +14 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Forecast Friday, May 19th at 12pm ET
by christian @ 2023-05-18 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus Forecast Fridays: May 5th — Peter Wildeford on Biden's 3rd Veto
by christian @ 2023-05-04 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Forecast Friday, April 28th at 12pm ET
by christian @ 2023-04-26 | +5 | 0 comments

[Metaculus Event] April 14 Forecast Friday: A Pro Forecaster on Shifting...
by christian @ 2023-04-14 | +5 | 0 comments

[Metaculus Event] April 7 Forecast Friday: A Pro Forecaster Presents on...
by christian @ 2023-04-07 | +11 | 0 comments

🔰Metaculus Launches New Beginner Forecasting Tournament🔰
by christian @ 2023-04-05 | +21 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Keep Virginia Safe II Tournament Enters 2nd Round
by christian @ 2023-04-04 | +11 | 0 comments

[Event] Join Metaculus Tomorrow, March 31st, for Forecast Friday!
by christian @ 2023-03-30 | +29 | 0 comments

[Event] Join Metaculus for Forecast Friday on March 24th!
by christian @ 2023-03-17 | +8 | 0 comments

Metaculus's Climate Tipping Points Tournament Enters Round 2
by christian @ 2023-03-16 | +10 | 0 comments

Metaculus Introduces New 'Conditional Pair' Forecast Questions for Making...
by christian @ 2023-02-20 | +60 | 0 comments

christian's Quick takes
by christian @ 2023-02-14 | +4 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches Climate Tipping Points Tournament With The Federation of...
by christian @ 2023-01-27 | +21 | 0 comments

Metaculus Year in Review: 2022
by christian @ 2023-01-06 | +25 | 0 comments

Metaculus Announces The Million Predictions Hackathon
by christian @ 2022-11-10 | +20 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches FluSight Challenge 2022/23
by christian @ 2022-10-24 | +12 | 0 comments

Announcing Metaculus's 'Red Lines in Ukraine' Forecasting Project
by christian @ 2022-10-21 | +17 | 0 comments

Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting
by christian @ 2022-10-18 | +35 | 0 comments

Metaculus Launches the 'Forecasting Our World In Data' Project to Probe the...
by christian, EdMathieu @ 2022-10-14 | +65 | 0 comments

Metaculus is seeking experienced leaders, researchers & operators for...
by christian @ 2022-07-10 | +13 | 0 comments

Metaculus seeking Analytical Storytellers to write essays fortified with...
by christian @ 2021-10-06 | +16 | 0 comments

[Event] A Metaculus Open Panel Discussion: How Forecasts Inform COVID-19 Policy
by christian @ 2021-10-04 | +3 | 0 comments