Forecast in the Understanding AI Series With Timothy B. Lee
By christian @ 2024-03-28T22:27 (+12)
This is a linkpost to https://www.metaculus.com/project/3055/
Start forecasting in the Understanding AI Series, a collaboration with tech journalist Timothy B. Lee, whose Understanding AI newsletter provides clarifying context for the most important AI stories of today.
Find out more here, and begin sharing your predictions on questions inspired by Lee's writing on AI, such as:
- When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?
- In how many US states will Waymo's driverless ride-hailing service be offered?
- Which frontier AI lab's model will score highest on the MMLU benchmark in 2025?
Austin @ 2024-03-30T01:03 (+7)
This is awesome! I've been a fan of Timothy's since his Full Stack Economics days, and it's great to see more collaborations between the forecasting world and journalism. AI journalism is an especially pivotal area, and so I'm glad for the additional rigor in the form of Metaculus question operationalizations.
christian @ 2024-04-01T14:41 (+1)
Great to see this! Absolutely, we're looking forward to sharing more Metaculus collaborations with more interesting public thinkers in the near future.