MichaelA🔸

RP’s AI Governance & Strategy team - June 2023 interim overview
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-06-22 | +68 | 0 comments

Rethink Priorities is hiring a Compute Governance Researcher or Research...
by MichaelA🔸, Rethink Priorities @ 2023-06-07 | +36 | 0 comments

Intermediate goals for reducing risks from nuclear weapons: A shallow review...
by MichaelA🔸, Will Aldred @ 2023-05-01 | +35 | 0 comments

Research project idea: How bad would the worst plausible nuclear conflict...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +16 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Direct and indirect effects of nuclear fallout
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +12 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Neartermist cost-effectiveness analysis of nuclear risk...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +12 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Polling or message testing related to nuclear risk...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +16 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Nuclear EMPs
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +18 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Overview of nuclear-risk-related projects and...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +12 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Impact assessment of nuclear-risk-related orgs,...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +13 | 0 comments

Research project idea: How should EAs react to funders pulling out of the...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +12 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Climate, agricultural, and famine effects of nuclear...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +17 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Technological developments that could increase risks from...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +17 | 0 comments

Research project idea: Intermediate goals for nuclear risk reduction
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-15 | +24 | 0 comments

Nuclear risk, its potential long-term impacts, & doing research on that: An...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-04-10 | +50 | 0 comments

Survey on intermediate goals in AI governance
by MichaelA🔸, MaxRa @ 2023-03-17 | +155 | 0 comments

Technological developments that could increase risks from nuclear weapons: A...
by MichaelA🔸, Will Aldred @ 2023-02-09 | +79 | 0 comments

Adding important nuances to "preserve option value" arguments
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2023-01-08 | +36 | 0 comments

Collection of work on 'Should you focus on the EU if you're interested in AI...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-08-06 | +45 | 0 comments

Interested in EA/longtermist research careers? Here are my top recommended...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-06-26 | +112 | 0 comments

Don’t think, just apply! (usually)
by MichaelA🔸, Akash @ 2022-04-12 | +141 | 0 comments

Nuclear risk research ideas: Summary & introduction
by MichaelA🔸, Will Aldred @ 2022-04-08 | +103 | 0 comments

Propose and vote on potential EA Wiki articles / tags [2022]
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-04-08 | +38 | 0 comments

8 possible high-level goals for work on nuclear risk
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-03-29 | +46 | 0 comments

Collection of definitions of "good judgement"
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-03-14 | +31 | 0 comments

Why and how to be excited about megaprojects
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2022-01-24 | +76 | 0 comments

Database of orgs relevant to longtermist/x-risk work
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-11-19 | +104 | 0 comments

Competition for "Fortified Essays" on nuclear risk
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-11-17 | +35 | 0 comments

Some readings & notes on how to do high-quality, efficient research
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-11-17 | +69 | 0 comments

"Slower tech development" can be about ordering, gradualness, or distance from...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-11-14 | +47 | 0 comments

How to decide which productivity coach to try?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-11-12 | +26 | 0 comments

Things I often tell people about applying to EA Funds
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-10-27 | +78 | 0 comments

List of EA funding opportunities
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-10-26 | +173 | 0 comments

"Nuclear risk research, forecasting, & impact" [presentation]
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-10-21 | +20 | 0 comments

When and how should an online community space (e.g., Slack workspace) for a...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-10-07 | +20 | 0 comments

Event on Oct 9: Forecasting Nuclear Risk with Rethink Priorities' Michael Aird
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-09-29 | +24 | 0 comments

Independent impressions
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-09-26 | +152 | 0 comments

Improving EAs’ use of non-EA options for research training, credentials, testing...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-09-11 | +23 | 0 comments

Books and lecture series relevant to AI governance?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-07-18 | +22 | 0 comments

Announcing the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-06-16 | +38 | 0 comments

Why EAs researching mainstream topics can be useful
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-06-13 | +37 | 0 comments

Overview of Rethink Priorities’ work on risks from nuclear weapons
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-06-10 | +43 | 0 comments

Final Report of the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-06-01 | +51 | 0 comments

Notes on Mochary's "The Great CEO Within" (2019)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-29 | +22 | 0 comments

Intervention options for improving the EA-aligned research pipeline
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-28 | +49 | 0 comments

Reasons for and against posting on the EA Forum
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-23 | +32 | 0 comments

Goals we might have when taking actions to improve the EA-aligned research...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-21 | +22 | 0 comments

What's wrong with the EA-aligned research pipeline?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-14 | +70 | 0 comments

Improving the EA-aligned research pipeline: Sequence introduction
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-11 | +63 | 0 comments

Thoughts on "A case against strong longtermism" (Masrani)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-03 | +39 | 0 comments

Thoughts on “The Case for Strong Longtermism” (Greaves & MacAskill)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-05-02 | +30 | 0 comments

My personal cruxes for focusing on existential risks / longtermism / anything...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-04-13 | +55 | 0 comments

On the longtermist case for working on farmed animals [Uncertainties & research...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-04-11 | +78 | 0 comments

The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism (Tarsney, 2020)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-04-04 | +79 | 0 comments

New Top EA Causes for 2021?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-04-01 | +47 | 0 comments

Notes on EA-related research, writing, testing fit, learning, and the Forum
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-03-27 | +98 | 0 comments

Notes on Henrich's "The WEIRDest People in the World" (2020)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-03-25 | +44 | 0 comments

Notes on "Bioterror and Biowarfare" (2006)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-03-01 | +29 | 0 comments

A ranked list of all EA-relevant (audio)books I've read
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-02-17 | +116 | 0 comments

Open thread: Get/give feedback on career plans
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-02-12 | +43 | 0 comments

Notes on "The Bomb: Presidents, Generals, and the Secret History of Nuclear War"...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-02-06 | +18 | 0 comments

Books on authoritarianism, Russia, China, NK, democratic backsliding, etc.?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-02-02 | +14 | 0 comments

Notes on Schelling's "Strategy of Conflict" (1960)
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-01-29 | +20 | 0 comments

How much time should EAs spend engaging with other EAs vs with people outside of...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-01-18 | +25 | 0 comments

[Podcast] Rob Wiblin on self-improvement and research ethics
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-01-15 | +8 | 0 comments

Should pretty much all content that's EA-relevant and/or created by EAs be...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2021-01-15 | +46 | 0 comments

Books / book reviews on nuclear risk, WMDs, great power war?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-12-15 | +16 | 0 comments

Should marginal longtermist donations support fundamental or intervention...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-11-30 | +43 | 0 comments

Where are you donating in 2020 and why?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-11-23 | +71 | 0 comments

Modelling the odds of recovery from civilizational collapse
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-09-17 | +41 | 0 comments

Should surveys about the quality/impact of research outputs be more common?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-09-08 | +22 | 0 comments

Please take a survey on the quality/impact of things I've written
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-09-01 | +18 | 0 comments

What is existential security?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-09-01 | +34 | 0 comments

Risks from Atomically Precise Manufacturing
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-25 | +29 | 0 comments

Crucial questions about optimal timing of work and donations
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-14 | +45 | 0 comments

How valuable would more academic research on forecasting be? What questions...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-12 | +23 | 0 comments

Quantifying the probability of existential catastrophe: A reply to Beard et al.
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-10 | +21 | 0 comments

Propose and vote on potential EA Wiki entries
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-04 | +49 | 0 comments

Extinction risk reduction and moral circle expansion: Speculating suspicious...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-08-04 | +12 | 0 comments

Crucial questions for longtermists
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-29 | +104 | 0 comments

Moral circles: Degrees, dimensions, visuals
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-24 | +87 | 0 comments

Do research organisations make theory of change diagrams? Should they?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-22 | +52 | 0 comments

Improving the future by influencing actors' benevolence, intelligence, and power
by MichaelA🔸, JustinShovelain @ 2020-07-20 | +76 | 0 comments

Venn diagrams of existential, global, and suffering catastrophes
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-15 | +81 | 0 comments

Some history topics it might be very valuable to investigate
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-08 | +91 | 0 comments

3 suggestions about jargon in EA
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-07-05 | +131 | 0 comments

Civilization Re-Emerging After a Catastrophic Collapse
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-06-27 | +32 | 0 comments

I knew a bit about misinformation and fact-checking in 2017. AMA, if you're...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-05-11 | +20 | 0 comments

Existential risks are not just about humanity
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-28 | +35 | 0 comments

Differential progress / intellectual progress / technological development
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-24 | +47 | 0 comments

Clarifying existential risks and existential catastrophes
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-24 | +39 | 0 comments

A central directory for open research questions
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-19 | +163 | 0 comments

Database of existential risk estimates
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-15 | +130 | 0 comments

Some thoughts on Toby Ord’s existential risk estimates
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-07 | +67 | 0 comments

My open-for-feedback donation plans
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-04-04 | +25 | 0 comments

What questions could COVID-19 provide evidence on that would help guide future...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-27 | +7 | 0 comments

What's the best platform/app/approach for fundraising for things that aren't...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-27 | +5 | 0 comments

Fundraising for the Center for Health Security: My personal plan and open...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-26 | +14 | 0 comments

Will the coronavirus pandemic advance or hinder the spread of longtermist-style...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-19 | +12 | 0 comments

[Link and commentary] Beyond Near- and Long-Term: Towards a Clearer Account of...
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-14 | +18 | 0 comments

Suggestion: EAs should post more summaries and collections
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-09 | +76 | 0 comments

Quotes about the long reflection
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-05 | +55 | 0 comments

Where to find EA-related videos
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-03-02 | +33 | 0 comments

Causal diagrams of the paths to existential catastrophe
by MichaelA🔸, JustinShovelain, David_Kristoffersson @ 2020-03-01 | +51 | 0 comments

Morality vs related concepts
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-02-10 | +19 | 0 comments

What are information hazards?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-02-05 | +38 | 0 comments

Four components of strategy research
by MichaelA🔸, JustinShovelain, David_Kristoffersson, SiebeRozendal @ 2020-01-30 | +26 | 0 comments

When to post here, vs to LessWrong, vs to both?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-01-27 | +14 | 0 comments

Potential downsides of using explicit probabilities
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-01-20 | +57 | 0 comments

[Link] Charity Election
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-01-19 | +8 | 0 comments

Making decisions when both morally and empirically uncertain
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-01-02 | +22 | 0 comments

Making decisions under moral uncertainty
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2020-01-01 | +44 | 0 comments

MichaelA's Quick takes
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2019-12-22 | +10 | 0 comments

Are there other events in the UK before/after EAG London?
by MichaelA🔸 @ 2019-08-11 | +9 | 0 comments