Yarrow Bouchard 🔸

Pronouns: she/her or they/them. 

I got interested in effective altruism back before it was called effective altruism, back before Giving What We Can had a website. Later on, I got involved in my university EA group and helped run it for a few years. Now I’m trying to figure out where effective altruism can fit into my life these days and what it means to me.

Posts

Highlights from Ilya Sutskever’s November 2025 interview with Dwarkesh Patel
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-25 | +20 | 0 comments
Unsolved research problems on the road to AGI
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-22 | +11 | 0 comments
Is the AI Industry in a Bubble?
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-16 | +39 | 0 comments
A major flaw in the Forecasting Research Institute's "Longitudinal Expert AI...
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-14 | +25 | 0 comments
Microsoft's CEO Satya Nadella says he doesn't believe in AGI
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-12 | +12 | 0 comments
Is "AI as Normal Technology" a misnomer?
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-12 | +8 | 0 comments
Frozen skills aren't general intelligence
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-08 | +10 | 0 comments
Prudential longtermism is defanged by the strategy of procrastination — and...
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-06 | +13 | 0 comments
Disciplined iconoclasm
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-11-03 | +25 | 0 comments
Even after GPT-4, AI researchers forecasted a 50% chance of AGI by 2047 or 2116,...
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-10-28 | +18 | 0 comments
If an AI financial bubble popped, how much would that change your mind about...
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-10-21 | +19 | 0 comments
Irrecoverable collapse
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-10-21 | +10 | 0 comments
AGI by 2032 is extremely unlikely
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-10-16 | +24 | 0 comments
OpenAI's o3 model scores 3% on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark, compared to 60% for the...
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-05-01 | +14 | 0 comments
François Chollet on why LLMs won't scale to AGI
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-04-15 | +6 | 0 comments
ARC-AGI-2 Overview With François Chollet
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-04-10 | +7 | 0 comments
On January 1, 2030, there will be no AGI (and AGI will still not be imminent)
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2025-04-06 | +46 | 0 comments
What novel, actionable advice does longtermism offer?
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2024-04-19 | +14 | 0 comments
Why won’t nanotech kill us all?
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-16 | +20 | 0 comments
If AGI is imminent, why can’t I hail a robotaxi?
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-09 | +26 | 0 comments
Yarrow's Quick takes
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-07 | +2 | 0 comments
Google DeepMind releases Gemini
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-06 | +21 | 0 comments
Biological superintelligence: a solution to AI safety
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-04 | +4 | 0 comments
Aging should be effective altruism's 5th cause area
by Yarrow Bouchard 🔸 @ 2023-12-02 | +20 | 0 comments