Peter Wildeford

I'm a globally ranked top 20 forecaster. I believe that AI is not a normal technology. I'm working to help shape AI for global prosperity and human freedom. Previously, I was a former data scientist with five years of industry experience.

Posts

Reading list on AI agents and associated policy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2024-08-09 | +79 | 0 comments
Eight Fundamental Constraints for Growing a Research Organization
by Peter Wildeford @ 2024-06-14 | +93 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities needs your support. Here's what we'd do with it.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-11-21 | +211 | 0 comments
I am hiring an Executive Research Assistant - improve RP while receiving...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-08-29 | +59 | 0 comments
AMA: Peter Wildeford (Co-CEO at Rethink Priorities)
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-07-18 | +94 | 0 comments
Five Years of Rethink Priorities: What We've Learned
by Peter Wildeford, Marcus_A_Davis @ 2023-06-21 | +144 | 0 comments
EA is three radical ideas I want to protect
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-03-27 | +646 | 0 comments
Announcing Squigglepy, a Python package for Squiggle
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-10-19 | +90 | 0 comments
21 criticisms of EA I'm thinking about
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-09-01 | +210 | 0 comments
Notes on how prizes may fail and how to reduce the risk of them failing
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-08-30 | +89 | 0 comments
Notes on "A World Without Email", plus my practical implementation
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-06-20 | +64 | 0 comments
Human survival is a policy choice
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-06-03 | +27 | 0 comments
The chance of accidental nuclear war has been going down
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-05-31 | +66 | 0 comments
In current EA, scalability matters
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-03-03 | +108 | 0 comments
We’re Rethink Priorities. Ask us anything!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-11-15 | +102 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities - 2021 Impact and 2022 Strategy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-11-15 | +134 | 0 comments
Peter Wildeford's Quick takes
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-10-10 | +8 | 0 comments
Notes on "Managing to Change the World"
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-10-09 | +199 | 0 comments
Help Rethink Priorities Use Data for Animals, Longtermism, and EA
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-07-05 | +59 | 0 comments
Please Take the 2020 EA Survey
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-11-11 | +152 | 0 comments
US Non-Profit? Get Free* Money From the Gov on 3 Apr!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-04-01 | +72 | 0 comments
Coronavirus Research Ideas for EAs
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-03-27 | +118 | 0 comments
We're Rethink Priorities. AMA.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-12-12 | +91 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities 2019 Impact and Strategy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-12-02 | +72 | 0 comments
Please Take the 2019 EA Survey!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-09-23 | +47 | 0 comments
GiveWell's Top Charities Are Increasingly Hard to Beat
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-07-10 | +42 | 0 comments
EA Survey 2018 Series: Do EA Survey Takers Keep Their GWWC Pledge?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-06-16 | +87 | 0 comments
Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-06-02 | +181 | 0 comments
EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-05-31 | +53 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities Plans for 2019
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-12-18 | +65 | 0 comments
Open Thread #40
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-07-08 | +8 | 0 comments
Animal Equality showed that advocating for diet change works. But is it...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-06-07 | +28 | 0 comments
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Appendices and Endnotes
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +9 | 0 comments
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Exploring Model Uncertainty and Takeaways
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +11 | 0 comments
What is the cost-effectiveness of researching vaccines?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +17 | 0 comments
How much does it cost to roll-out a vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-26 | +6 | 0 comments
How much does it cost to research and develop a vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-24 | +7 | 0 comments
What is Animal Farming in Rural Zambia Like? A Site Visit
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-19 | +18 | 0 comments
Four Organizations EAs Should Fully Fund for 2018
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-12-12 | +40 | 0 comments
Is EA Growing? Some EA Growth Metrics for 2017
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-09-05 | +19 | 0 comments
How long does it take to research and develop a new vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-06-28 | +23 | 0 comments
Can we apply start-up investing principles to non-profits?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-06-27 | +40 | 0 comments
The 2017 Effective Altruism Survey - Please Take!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-04-24 | +10 | 0 comments
How do EA Orgs Account for Uncertainty in their Analysis?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-04-05 | +17 | 0 comments
Effective Altruism is Not a Competition
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-01-05 | +78 | 0 comments
Semi-regular Open Thread #35
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-30 | +9 | 0 comments
Why I Took the Giving What We Can Pledge
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-28 | +26 | 0 comments
What is the expected value of creating a GiveWell top charity?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-18 | +24 | 0 comments
How many hits does hits-based giving get? A concrete study idea to find out (and...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-09 | +16 | 0 comments
Thoughts on the Reducetarian Labs MTurk Study
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-02 | +21 | 0 comments
Using a Spreadsheet to Make Good Decisions: Five Examples
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-11-26 | +83 | 0 comments
Students for High Impact Charity: Review and $10K Grant
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-09-27 | +15 | 0 comments
A Method for Automatic Trustworthiness in Study Pre-Registration
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-09-25 | +14 | 0 comments
Using Amazon's Mechanical Turk for Animal Advocacy Studies: Opportunities and...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-08-02 | +26 | 0 comments
Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-07-28 | +43 | 0 comments
End-Relational Theory of Meta-ethics: A Dialogue
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-28 | +38 | 0 comments
How should we prioritize cause prioritization?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-13 | +25 | 0 comments
A Case for Empirical Cause Prioritization
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-06 | +25 | 0 comments
Global poverty could be more cost-effective than animal advocacy (even for...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-05-31 | +17 | 0 comments
More Thoughts (and Analysis) on the Mercy For Animals Online Ads Study
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-05-27 | +13 | 0 comments
Is EA growing? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $100 offer for...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-02-21 | +18 | 0 comments
Do EAs underestimate opportunities to create many small benefits?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-01-25 | +11 | 0 comments
EA risks falling into a "meta trap". But we can avoid it.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-08-25 | +115 | 0 comments
Peter Hurford thinks that a large proportion of people should earn to give long...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-08-17 | +60 | 0 comments
The 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists: Results and Analysis
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-03-17 | +30 | 0 comments
EA is the best choice I've ever made
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-01-30 | +28 | 0 comments
List of Introductory EA Presentations
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-29 | +14 | 0 comments
How I Raised $5010.32 for AMF and How You Can Too!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-23 | +20 | 0 comments
How to Read
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-20 | +14 | 0 comments
You have a set amount of "weirdness points". Spend them wisely.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-11-27 | +89 | 0 comments
Productivity 101 For Beginners
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-11-05 | +22 | 0 comments
To Inspire People to Give, Be Public About Your Giving
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-09-16 | +22 | 0 comments
A Brief Summary of "How to Raise Money Without Killing a Kitten”
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-09-16 | +11 | 0 comments
Interview with Boris Yakubchik
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-05-08 | +1 | 0 comments
Effective altruism is not a competition
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-03-03 | +4 | 0 comments
Where I'm giving and why: Peter Hurford
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-12-24 | +5 | 0 comments
Why I'm skeptical about unproven causes (and you should be too)
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-08-07 | +54 | 0 comments
What Is earning to give?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-06-26 | +15 | 0 comments
Giving now currently seems to beat giving later
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-06-18 | +5 | 0 comments