Peter Wildeford

I'm a former data scientist with 5 years industry experience now working in Washington DC to bridge the gap between policy and emerging technology. AI is moving very quickly and we need to help the government keep up!

I work at IAPS, a think tank of aspiring wonks working to understand and navigate the transformative potential of advanced AI. Our mission is to identify and promote strategies that maximize the benefits of AI for society and develop thoughtful solutions to minimize its risks.

I'm also a professional forecaster with specializations in geopolitics and electoral forecasting.

Posts

Reading list on AI agents and associated policy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2024-08-09 | +79 | 0 comments
Eight Fundamental Constraints for Growing a Research Organization
by Peter Wildeford @ 2024-06-14 | +91 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities needs your support. Here's what we'd do with it.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-11-21 | +206 | 0 comments
I am hiring an Executive Research Assistant - improve RP while receiving...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-08-29 | +59 | 0 comments
AMA: Peter Wildeford (Co-CEO at Rethink Priorities)
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-07-18 | +94 | 0 comments
Five Years of Rethink Priorities: What We've Learned
by Peter Wildeford, Marcus_A_Davis @ 2023-06-21 | +144 | 0 comments
EA is three radical ideas I want to protect
by Peter Wildeford @ 2023-03-27 | +634 | 0 comments
Announcing Squigglepy, a Python package for Squiggle
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-10-19 | +90 | 0 comments
21 criticisms of EA I'm thinking about
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-09-01 | +209 | 0 comments
Notes on how prizes may fail and how to reduce the risk of them failing
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-08-30 | +89 | 0 comments
Notes on "A World Without Email", plus my practical implementation
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-06-20 | +64 | 0 comments
Human survival is a policy choice
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-06-03 | +25 | 0 comments
The chance of accidental nuclear war has been going down
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-05-31 | +66 | 0 comments
In current EA, scalability matters
by Peter Wildeford @ 2022-03-03 | +108 | 0 comments
We’re Rethink Priorities. Ask us anything!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-11-15 | +102 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities - 2021 Impact and 2022 Strategy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-11-15 | +134 | 0 comments
Peter Wildeford's Quick takes
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-10-10 | +8 | 0 comments
Notes on "Managing to Change the World"
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-10-09 | +195 | 0 comments
Help Rethink Priorities Use Data for Animals, Longtermism, and EA
by Peter Wildeford @ 2021-07-05 | +59 | 0 comments
Please Take the 2020 EA Survey
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-11-11 | +152 | 0 comments
US Non-Profit? Get Free* Money From the Gov on 3 Apr!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-04-01 | +72 | 0 comments
Coronavirus Research Ideas for EAs
by Peter Wildeford @ 2020-03-27 | +118 | 0 comments
We're Rethink Priorities. AMA.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-12-12 | +91 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities 2019 Impact and Strategy
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-12-02 | +72 | 0 comments
Please Take the 2019 EA Survey!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-09-23 | +47 | 0 comments
GiveWell's Top Charities Are Increasingly Hard to Beat
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-07-10 | +42 | 0 comments
EA Survey 2018 Series: Do EA Survey Takers Keep Their GWWC Pledge?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-06-16 | +87 | 0 comments
Is EA Growing? EA Growth Metrics for 2018
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-06-02 | +181 | 0 comments
EA Survey 2018 Series: How Long Do EAs Stay in EA?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2019-05-31 | +53 | 0 comments
Rethink Priorities Plans for 2019
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-12-18 | +65 | 0 comments
Open Thread #40
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-07-08 | +8 | 0 comments
Animal Equality showed that advocating for diet change works. But is it...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-06-07 | +28 | 0 comments
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Appendices and Endnotes
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +9 | 0 comments
Cost-Effectiveness of Vaccines: Exploring Model Uncertainty and Takeaways
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +11 | 0 comments
What is the cost-effectiveness of researching vaccines?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-05-08 | +17 | 0 comments
How much does it cost to roll-out a vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-26 | +6 | 0 comments
How much does it cost to research and develop a vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-24 | +7 | 0 comments
What is Animal Farming in Rural Zambia Like? A Site Visit
by Peter Wildeford @ 2018-02-19 | +18 | 0 comments
Four Organizations EAs Should Fully Fund for 2018
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-12-12 | +40 | 0 comments
Is EA Growing? Some EA Growth Metrics for 2017
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-09-05 | +19 | 0 comments
How long does it take to research and develop a new vaccine?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-06-28 | +23 | 0 comments
Can we apply start-up investing principles to non-profits?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-06-27 | +40 | 0 comments
The 2017 Effective Altruism Survey - Please Take!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-04-24 | +10 | 0 comments
How do EA Orgs Account for Uncertainty in their Analysis?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-04-05 | +17 | 0 comments
Effective Altruism is Not a Competition
by Peter Wildeford @ 2017-01-05 | +73 | 0 comments
Semi-regular Open Thread #35
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-30 | +9 | 0 comments
Why I Took the Giving What We Can Pledge
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-28 | +26 | 0 comments
What is the expected value of creating a GiveWell top charity?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-18 | +24 | 0 comments
How many hits does hits-based giving get? A concrete study idea to find out (and...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-09 | +16 | 0 comments
Thoughts on the Reducetarian Labs MTurk Study
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-12-02 | +15 | 0 comments
Using a Spreadsheet to Make Good Decisions: Five Examples
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-11-26 | +81 | 0 comments
Students for High Impact Charity: Review and $10K Grant
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-09-27 | +15 | 0 comments
A Method for Automatic Trustworthiness in Study Pre-Registration
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-09-25 | +14 | 0 comments
Using Amazon's Mechanical Turk for Animal Advocacy Studies: Opportunities and...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-08-02 | +26 | 0 comments
Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-07-28 | +40 | 0 comments
End-Relational Theory of Meta-ethics: A Dialogue
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-28 | +38 | 0 comments
How should we prioritize cause prioritization?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-13 | +25 | 0 comments
A Case for Empirical Cause Prioritization
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-06-06 | +25 | 0 comments
Global poverty could be more cost-effective than animal advocacy (even for...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-05-31 | +17 | 0 comments
More Thoughts (and Analysis) on the Mercy For Animals Online Ads Study
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-05-27 | +13 | 0 comments
Is EA growing? A concrete study idea to find out (and a $100 offer for...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-02-21 | +18 | 0 comments
Do EAs underestimate opportunities to create many small benefits?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2016-01-25 | +11 | 0 comments
EA risks falling into a "meta trap". But we can avoid it.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-08-25 | +110 | 0 comments
Peter Hurford thinks that a large proportion of people should earn to give long...
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-08-17 | +53 | 0 comments
The 2014 Survey of Effective Altruists: Results and Analysis
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-03-17 | +30 | 0 comments
EA is the best choice I've ever made
by Peter Wildeford @ 2015-01-30 | +26 | 0 comments
List of Introductory EA Presentations
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-29 | +14 | 0 comments
How I Raised $5010.32 for AMF and How You Can Too!
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-23 | +20 | 0 comments
How to Read
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-12-20 | +14 | 0 comments
You have a set amount of "weirdness points". Spend them wisely.
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-11-27 | +65 | 0 comments
Productivity 101 For Beginners
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-11-05 | +22 | 0 comments
To Inspire People to Give, Be Public About Your Giving
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-09-16 | +22 | 0 comments
A Brief Summary of "How to Raise Money Without Killing a Kitten”
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-09-16 | +11 | 0 comments
Interview with Boris Yakubchik
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-05-08 | +1 | 0 comments
Effective altruism is not a competition
by Peter Wildeford @ 2014-03-03 | +4 | 0 comments
Where I'm giving and why: Peter Hurford
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-12-24 | +5 | 0 comments
Why I'm skeptical about unproven causes (and you should be too)
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-08-07 | +54 | 0 comments
What Is earning to give?
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-06-26 | +10 | 0 comments
Giving now currently seems to beat giving later
by Peter Wildeford @ 2013-06-18 | +5 | 0 comments