dschwarz

Interested in forecasting, epistemology, and AI. Long-time LW lurker, https://www.lesswrong.com/users/dschwarz

CEO of FutureSearch. Previously CTO Metaculus, creator of Google's current internal prediction market.

Posts

[LW xpost] Unit economics of LLM APIs
by dschwarz, Daniel Hnyk, nikos, Peter Mühlbacher, Lawrence Phillips @ 2024-08-27 | +19 | 0 comments
A breakdown of OpenAI's revenue
by dschwarz, Lawrence Phillips, Daniel Hnyk, Peter Mühlbacher, nikos, FutureSearch @ 2024-07-10 | +58 | 0 comments
dschwarz's Quick takes
by dschwarz @ 2024-06-03 | +3 | 0 comments
The Rationale-Shaped Hole At The Heart Of Forecasting
by dschwarz, FutureSearch, Lawrence Phillips, Daniel Hnyk, Peter Mühlbacher @ 2024-04-02 | +154 | 0 comments
[job] Metaculus has new software roles
by dschwarz @ 2022-11-07 | +9 | 0 comments