Toby_Ord

Are the Costs of AI Agents Also Rising Exponentially?
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +79 | 0 comments

Evidence that Recent AI Gains are Mostly from Inference-Scaling
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +22 | 0 comments

The Extreme Inefficiency of RL for Frontier Models
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +24 | 0 comments

Is there a Half-Life for the Success Rates of AI Agents?
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +28 | 0 comments

Inference Scaling Reshapes AI Governance
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +38 | 0 comments

Inference Scaling and the Log-x Chart
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-02-02 | +28 | 0 comments

The Scaling Paradox
by Toby_Ord @ 2026-01-30 | +49 | 0 comments

How Well Does RL Scale?
by Toby_Ord @ 2025-10-22 | +171 | 0 comments

Evaluating the Infinite
by Toby_Ord @ 2025-09-25 | +108 | 0 comments

The Precipice Revisited
by Toby_Ord @ 2024-07-12 | +283 | 0 comments

On the Value of Advancing Progress
by Toby_Ord @ 2024-07-11 | +127 | 0 comments

Robust longterm comparisons
by Toby_Ord @ 2024-05-15 | +45 | 0 comments

Shaping Humanity's Longterm Trajectory
by Toby_Ord @ 2023-07-18 | +176 | 0 comments

Casting the Decisive Vote
by Toby_Ord @ 2023-03-27 | +103 | 0 comments

Reflecting on the Last Year — Lessons for EA (opening keynote at EAG)
by Toby_Ord @ 2023-03-24 | +274 | 0 comments

The Precipice: Introduction and Chapter One
by Toby_Ord @ 2021-01-02 | +23 | 0 comments

AMA: Toby Ord, author of "The Precipice" and co-founder of the EA movement
by Toby_Ord @ 2020-03-17 | +68 | 0 comments

The value of money going to different groups
by Toby_Ord @ 2017-05-16 | +22 | 0 comments

The Moral Imperative Towards Cost-effectiveness
by Toby_Ord @ 2014-09-09 | +27 | 0 comments

The timing of labour aimed at reducing existential risk
by Toby_Ord @ 2014-07-04 | +72 | 0 comments