niplav

An AI Race With China Can Be Better Than Not Racing
by niplav @ 2024-07-02 | +18 | 0 comments

Fat Tails Discourage Compromise
by niplav @ 2024-06-17 | +31 | 0 comments

Progress in Qualia
by niplav @ 2024-05-03 | +15 | 0 comments

How Often Does ¬Correlation ⇏ ¬Causation?
by niplav @ 2024-04-02 | +5 | 0 comments

Forecasters: What Do They Know? Do They Know Things?? Let's Find Out!
by niplav @ 2024-04-02 | +10 | 0 comments

Precision of Sets of Forecasts
by niplav @ 2023-09-19 | +8 | 0 comments

There is Little Evidence on Question Decomposition
by niplav @ 2023-09-07 | +32 | 0 comments

Two Reasons For Restarting the Testing of Nuclear Weapons
by niplav @ 2023-08-08 | +17 | 0 comments

Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets
by niplav @ 2023-04-14 | +46 | 0 comments

Why I don't write as much as I used to (Brian Tomasik, 2022)
by niplav @ 2022-08-03 | +81 | 0 comments

Range and Forecasting Accuracy
by niplav @ 2022-05-27 | +21 | 0 comments

[UNENDORSED] Reward Long Content
by niplav @ 2022-04-25 | +42 | 0 comments

niplav's Quick takes
by niplav @ 2020-10-05 | +1 | 0 comments