kokotajlod

Most of my stuff (even the stuff of interest to EAs) can be found on LessWrong: https://www.lesswrong.com/users/daniel-kokotajlo

Posts

Simple charitable donation app idea
by kokotajlod @ 2023-05-12 | +88 | 0 comments
My version of Simulacra Levels
by kokotajlod @ 2023-04-26 | +24 | 0 comments
Replacement for PONR concept
by kokotajlod @ 2022-09-02 | +14 | 0 comments
Growth of prediction markets over time?
by kokotajlod @ 2021-09-02 | +8 | 0 comments
What 2026 looks like (Daniel's median future)
by kokotajlod @ 2021-08-07 | +38 | 0 comments
DeepMind: Generally capable agents emerge from open-ended play
by kokotajlod @ 2021-07-27 | +56 | 0 comments
Taboo "Outside View"
by kokotajlod @ 2021-06-17 | +177 | 0 comments
Vignettes Workshop (AI Impacts)
by kokotajlod @ 2021-06-15 | +43 | 0 comments
Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute
by kokotajlod @ 2021-03-01 | +28 | 0 comments
Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Appeals to the...
by kokotajlod @ 2021-01-18 | +27 | 0 comments
Against GDP as a metric for timelines and takeoff speeds
by kokotajlod @ 2020-12-29 | +47 | 0 comments
Is this a good way to bet on short timelines?
by kokotajlod @ 2020-11-28 | +17 | 0 comments
Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency?
by kokotajlod @ 2020-11-20 | +15 | 0 comments
How Roodman's GWP model translates to TAI timelines
by kokotajlod @ 2020-11-16 | +22 | 0 comments
How can I bet on short timelines?
by kokotajlod @ 2020-11-07 | +33 | 0 comments
What considerations influence whether I have more influence over short or long...
by kokotajlod @ 2020-11-05 | +18 | 0 comments
AI risk hub in Singapore?
by kokotajlod @ 2020-10-29 | +24 | 0 comments
Relevant pre-AGI possibilities
by kokotajlod @ 2020-06-20 | +22 | 0 comments
Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an...
by kokotajlod @ 2019-02-15 | +79 | 0 comments
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Bibliography and Appendix
by kokotajlod @ 2018-11-20 | +10 | 0 comments
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Concluding Arguments
by kokotajlod @ 2018-11-15 | +33 | 0 comments
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Solutions
by kokotajlod @ 2018-11-14 | +22 | 0 comments
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Defusing the Initial Worry and...
by kokotajlod @ 2018-11-10 | +35 | 0 comments
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: A Problem for Long-Termism?
by kokotajlod @ 2018-11-08 | +30 | 0 comments
Ongoing lawsuit naming "future generations" as plaintiffs; advice sought for how...
by kokotajlod @ 2018-01-23 | +9 | 0 comments
Anyone have thoughts/response to this critique of Effective Animal Altruism?
by kokotajlod @ 2016-12-25 | +3 | 0 comments