Holden Karnofsky

Case studies on social-welfare-based standards in various industries
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2024-06-20 | +73 | 0 comments

Joining the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2024-04-29 | +228 | 0 comments

Good job opportunities for helping with the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2024-01-18 | +46 | 0 comments

We're Not Ready: thoughts on "pausing" and responsible scaling policies
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-10-27 | +150 | 0 comments

3 levels of threat obfuscation
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-08-02 | +31 | 0 comments

A Playbook for AI Risk Reduction (focused on misaligned AI)
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-06-06 | +81 | 0 comments

Seeking (Paid) Case Studies on Standards
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-05-26 | +99 | 0 comments

Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-03-15 | +113 | 0 comments

What does Bing Chat tell us about AI risk?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-02-28 | +99 | 0 comments

How major governments can help with the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-02-24 | +56 | 0 comments

Taking a leave of absence from Open Philanthropy to work on AI safety
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-02-23 | +420 | 0 comments

What AI companies can do today to help with the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-02-20 | +104 | 0 comments

Jobs that can help with the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-02-12 | +57 | 0 comments

We're no longer "pausing most new longtermist funding commitments"
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-01-30 | +201 | 0 comments

Spreading messages to help with the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-01-25 | +128 | 0 comments

How we could stumble into AI catastrophe
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-01-16 | +83 | 0 comments

Transformative AI issues (not just misalignment): an overview
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2023-01-06 | +36 | 0 comments

Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-12-31 | +79 | 0 comments

High-level hopes for AI alignment
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-12-20 | +123 | 0 comments

AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-12-11 | +90 | 0 comments

Why Would AI "Aim" To Defeat Humanity?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-11-29 | +24 | 0 comments

My takes on the FTX situation will (mostly) be cold, not hot
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-11-18 | +389 | 0 comments

Some comments on recent FTX-related events
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-11-10 | +644 | 0 comments

“Technological unemployment” AI vs. “most important century” AI: how far apart?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-10-11 | +17 | 0 comments

EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-09-02 | +492 | 0 comments

How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-08-29 | +163 | 0 comments

AI strategy nearcasting
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-08-26 | +61 | 0 comments

The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-07-04 | +67 | 0 comments

Nonprofit Boards are Weird
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-06-28 | +111 | 0 comments

AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-06-10 | +143 | 0 comments

Useful Vices for Wicked Problems
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-04-12 | +115 | 0 comments

Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-04-07 | +80 | 0 comments

The Wicked Problem Experience
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-03-02 | +72 | 0 comments

Important, actionable research questions for the most important century
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-02-24 | +298 | 0 comments

Learning By Writing
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-02-22 | +147 | 0 comments

Future-proof ethics
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-02-02 | +70 | 0 comments

Other-centered ethics and Harsanyi's Aggregation Theorem
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-02-02 | +59 | 0 comments

AI alignment research links
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-01-06 | +16 | 0 comments

Consider trying the ELK contest (I am)
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2022-01-05 | +110 | 0 comments

Bayesian Mindset
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-12-21 | +73 | 0 comments

Rowing, Steering, Anchoring, Equity, Mutiny
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-11-30 | +94 | 0 comments

Minimal-trust investigations
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-11-23 | +161 | 0 comments

“Biological anchors” is about bounding, not pinpointing, AI timelines
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-11-18 | +38 | 0 comments

Weak point in "most important century": lock-in
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-11-11 | +44 | 0 comments

Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-11-03 | +48 | 0 comments

Has Life Gotten Better?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-10-05 | +79 | 0 comments

Summary of history (empowerment and well-being lens)
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-09-28 | +62 | 0 comments

Call to Vigilance
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-09-15 | +90 | 0 comments

How to make the best of the most important century?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-09-14 | +54 | 0 comments

AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-09-07 | +88 | 0 comments

The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-09-03 | +19 | 0 comments

Forecasting transformative AI: the "biological anchors" method in a nutshell
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-08-31 | +50 | 0 comments

Forecasting Transformative AI: Are we "trending toward" transformative AI? (How...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-08-24 | +56 | 0 comments

Forecasting transformative AI: what's the burden of proof?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-08-17 | +71 | 0 comments

Forecasting Transformative AI: What Kind of AI?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-08-10 | +62 | 0 comments

This Can't Go On
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-08-03 | +130 | 0 comments

Digital People FAQ
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-07-27 | +28 | 0 comments

Digital People Would Be An Even Bigger Deal
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-07-27 | +53 | 0 comments

The Duplicator: Instant Cloning Would Make the World Economy Explode
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-07-20 | +88 | 0 comments

New blog: Cold Takes
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-07-13 | +85 | 0 comments

All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-07-13 | +217 | 0 comments

My current impressions on career choice for longtermists
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2021-06-04 | +444 | 0 comments

History of Philanthropy Literature Review: Pugwash Conferences on Science and...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2019-04-18 | +34 | 0 comments

History of Philanthropy Case Study: The Campaign for Marriage Equality
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2018-09-20 | +4 | 0 comments

Hi, I'm Holden Karnofsky. AMA about jobs at Open Philanthropy
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2018-03-26 | +18 | 0 comments

Update on Cause Prioritization at Open Philanthropy
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2018-01-26 | +11 | 0 comments

History of Philanthropy Case Study: Clinton Health Access Initiative’s Role in...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2018-01-10 | +2 | 0 comments

Projects, People and Processes
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2017-06-26 | +3 | 0 comments

Some Thoughts on Public Discourse
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2017-02-23 | +71 | 0 comments

Radical Empathy
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2017-02-16 | +73 | 0 comments

Worldview Diversification
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-12-13 | +4 | 0 comments

Three Key Issues I’ve Changed My Mind About
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-09-06 | +19 | 0 comments

History of Philanthropy Case Study: The Founding of the Center for Global...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-06-15 | +2 | 0 comments

History of Philanthropy Case Study: The Founding of the Center on Budget and...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-05-20 | +2 | 0 comments

Some Background on Open Philanthropy's Views Regarding Advanced Artificial...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-05-16 | +3 | 0 comments

Some Background on Our Views Regarding Advanced Artificial Intelligence (Open...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-05-07 | +14 | 0 comments

Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence: The Philanthropic...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-05-06 | +2 | 0 comments

Hits-based Giving
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2016-04-04 | +99 | 0 comments

Why the Open Philanthropy Project isn't currently funding organizations focused...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-10-28 | +32 | 0 comments

Key Questions about Philanthropy, Part 2: Choosing Focus Areas and Hiring...
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-07-09 | +3 | 0 comments

Key Questions about Philanthropy, Part 1: What Is the Role of a Funder?
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-06-23 | +3 | 0 comments

Breakthrough Fundamental Science
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-04-14 | +3 | 0 comments

Translational Science and the “Valley of Death”
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-04-09 | +3 | 0 comments

The Path to Biomedical Progress
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2015-02-27 | +2 | 0 comments

Expert Philanthropy vs. Broad Philanthropy
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-10-16 | +3 | 0 comments

Challenges of Transparency
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-09-11 | +10 | 0 comments

The Moral Value of the Far Future
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-07-03 | +2 | 0 comments

The Importance of Committing to Causes
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-05-14 | +10 | 0 comments

Returns to Life Sciences Funding
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-01-15 | +2 | 0 comments

Exploring Life Sciences Funding
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2014-01-07 | +2 | 0 comments

The Track Record of Policy-Oriented Philanthropy
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2013-11-06 | +3 | 0 comments

Geoengineering Research
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2013-10-16 | +3 | 0 comments

Effective altruism
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2013-08-14 | +6 | 0 comments

Empowerment and Catastrophic Risk
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2013-07-18 | +2 | 0 comments

Objections and Concerns About Our New Direction
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2012-06-22 | +2 | 0 comments

Philanthropy's Success Stories
by Holden Karnofsky @ 2012-03-01 | +3 | 0 comments