Ben Williamson's Quick takes

By Ben Williamson @ 2021-11-01T23:43 (+1)

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Ben Williamson @ 2021-12-08T15:28 (+24)

Project Proposal - The Altruist

Rough notes on an idea for a potentially large, high-impact project: launching an EA-focused, online long-form newspaper

"News, articles, and interviews on doing the most good"

 

 

What?

Concept: a news agency providing journalistic coverage of EA topics and organisations. 

In the style of ...The Atlantic; Vox; the Economist; the New Yorker; Current Affairs.

 

Types of articles this could include:

 

Why? 

How? 

Puggy @ 2021-12-13T20:31 (+3)

I would love to read this. What a great idea. Pursue it!!

Ben Williamson @ 2021-12-14T12:20 (+1)

Thank you! I'm thinking now that I may try to launch a trial version of this next month!

Lakin @ 2021-12-11T00:05 (+2)

I got this sense, but I could be wrong--

Does it need to start big to get big? Could you start small-- just you, just one or a few articles perhaps? I.e. https://sive.rs/infinity

e.g. https://dynomight.net/ started pretty recently and is well-known now

Ben Williamson @ 2021-12-13T10:13 (+1)

It could start small for sure! A cheap, maybe solo trial version would make good sense. I think the larger concept of the project benefits from scale though, to add credibility for interviewing people and a size of readership/ projection that could usefully compete for attention with current news sources on EA topics.

ben3536 @ 2021-11-01T23:43 (+11)

Effective Self Help - Rough Concept

 

A rough explanation of the pilot project I am leading thanks to funding from the EA Infrastructure Fund.

 

Aim

To find the most effective ways in which people can improve their wellbeing, and to then share this information as simply and practically as possible. 

 

How will this be done?

  1. We will study and compile initial evidence for a wide range of: (1) potentially promising self-help interventions and (2) particularly valuable areas of wellbeing to focus on.
  2. From this long list, we will select the most promising interventions/ areas of wellbeing and undertake extended research into their effectiveness, based on an adapted framework of expected value and cost-effectiveness.
  3. A series of articles will then be published on the EA Forum to share the findings and recommend specific practices/ interventions.
  4. These articles can then be posted elsewhere and form the basis of a website that would in time provide a trusted, comprehensive, and effective guide to improving one’s wellbeing - for both community members and the wider public.

 

How is this valuable?

  1. Effective self-help advice has the potential to be highly cost-effective given the large audience published guidance could reach and the lack of costs involved in the project outside of researcher salary.
  2. Assuming that most people in the EA community are doing highly-impactful work (or will likely do so in future), a small increase in the wellbeing of EA community members should produce a tangible and valuable increase in the quality of highly important work.

 

As a (very rough and likely flawed) back of the envelope calculation of the project’s value:

 

 

Why self-help?

  1. Other promising interventions already exist or are in development for improving access to and the quality of external mental health support (loosely classified as anything that requires a professional to administer it [e.g. therapy]).
  2. This project is based on the premise that current self-help literature is often anecdotal, lacking in thoroughness when assessing existing literature/ evidence, and narrative-driven rather than aimed at best providing practical guidance.
  3. Self-help advice within the EA community tends to avoid these pitfalls but is often only a partial exploration of a topic (which is entirely reasonable given most articles on the Forum are written for free).

 

Summary

On this basis, a funded research project following EA/ rational norms of collecting and presenting evidence could produce self-help guidance that is significantly more useful than is what is currently available. 

By providing the EA community with better advice, this project aims to produce a meaningful increase in community wellbeing.

Brendon_Wong @ 2021-11-02T05:54 (+5)

This is very exciting! Great to see the EA Infrastructure Fund is funding work in this space. I've been working on a similar venture called Better (your project is most analogous to our research division). Feel free to reach out if you'd like to hear about my experiences or discuss collaboration!

It would be interesting to see which areas of life/well-being you will evaluate. We have a breakdown on our website! And also your prioritization method. We've created one which we're calling ABCD—audience, (net) benefits, certainty, and difficulty—which involves estimating and then multiplying the factors together. Loosely resembles the ITN and RICE frameworks.

A 2% well-being improvement seems pretty conservative, perhaps intentionally. Lynette reported adding 16.4 extra hours per month (a 10% increase assuming 160 hours worked per month), although I believe this was through self-reporting and not time tracking, and may not include survivorship bias and other adjustments. Still, I'd hope things like lighting  adjustments are pretty high impact.

Ben Williamson @ 2021-11-02T11:12 (+2)

Thanks for reaching out! Better looks a very interesting project with a lot of scope for impact. I'll message you to discuss experiences/ collaboration possibilities more.

I'm currently building a long list of interventions and wellbeing areas that seem particularly promising so what exactly I'll evaluate is still somewhat up in the air. The same goes for an evaluation method - I expect I'll use some adaptation of an expected value calculation, possibly combined with a weighted factor model - but I need to do more work on this before settling on a method.

As for the estimates, I agree that hopefully they are pretty conservative and that's definitely intentional. Quality evidence on many of these things can be hard to come by so I think it's best to shoot low. Also worth noting that I don't think wellbeing improvements = productivity improvements so while I've estimated a 2% productivity increase, I'd expect the wellbeing increase to be higher (maybe closer to 5% - and 5% is a lot once you start spreading the information!).

Lighting adjustments are definitely on the long list of promising areas and is a recommendation I have high hopes for.
 

HaukeHillebrandt @ 2021-11-02T16:35 (+3)

@josh-jacobson is also working on something similar.

Brendon_Wong @ 2021-11-02T17:12 (+2)

Thanks Hauke! Yep, at https://derisked.org/.

There's also James Norris at https://www.upgradable.org/.

Ben Williamson @ 2021-11-02T19:03 (+1)

Thanks to you both for the pointers!

Ben Williamson @ 2021-12-08T12:50 (+3)

EA groups should focus more on demonstrating value to new students

Aritcle idea posted here so I might be more likely to write it up properly in future. In the spirit of the best being the enemy of the good.

My relatively uninformed opinions on why some uni groups might be struggling to grow, or not growing as large/ fast as they could be...

  1. I think the current standard uni group programs can be off-putting to a significant proportion of potential participants

2. I think there's good ways in which EA groups can (better) market their value to new students

The current model is plausibly a particularly large obstacle to poorer students. If you are already studying for a degree and working significant hours to cover bills, your time becomes precious enough that you need more than an interest in a topic to follow through with commitment. A fellowship may sound cool but it is also time-intensive with no clear benefit in comparison to your job that allows you to live a vaguely normal student life. Demonstrate value first.