Cost-effectiveness of donating a kidney
By Vasco Grilo🔸 @ 2022-04-23T21:50 (+15)
Summary
- The cost-effectiveness of donating a kidney is about 0.7 QALY/k$ to 20 QALY/k$.
- The cost-effectiveness of donating to GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund is about 10 QALY/k$.
- Donating a kidney is about 6 % to 100 % as cost-effective as donating to GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund.
- Note that this comparison is often unfair, as suggested in this comment, since donating to effective charities and donating a kidney are usually not mutually exclusive.
The data and calculations are presented below.
Data
- Benefits of donatig a kidney (BK): 14 QALY.
- Cost of donating a kidney (CKL to CKH): 877 $ to 19,887 $.
- Global GDP per capita in 2020 (GDPpC): 10.9 k$.
- Cost-effectiveness of donating to GiveDirectly in units of doubling consumption[1] (CEGDU): 3.35 U/k$.
- Ratio between the cost-effectiveness of donating to GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund and to GiveDirectly[2] (RMIFGD): 8.
- Value of health in units of doubling consumption[3] (HU): 2.3 U/QALY.
Calculations
- Cost of donating a kidney (CK): (CKL * CKH)^0.5 = 4.18 k$.
- Cost-effectiveness of donating a kidney (CEKL to CEKH): BK / CKH = 0.704 QALY/k$ to BK / CKL = 16.0 QALY/k$.
- Cost-effectiveness of donating to GiveDirectly (CEGD): CEGDU / HU = 1.46 QALY/k$.
- Cost-effectiveness of donating to GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund[4] (CEMIF): RMIFGD * CEGD = 11.7 QALY/k$.
- Ratio between the cost-effectiveness of donating a kidney and donating to GiveWell's Maximum Impact Fund (RL to RH): CEKL / CEMIF = 6.04 % to CEKH / CEMIF = 137 %.
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To be precise, units of doubling consumption for one person for one year.
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"To this point, we’ve typically[8] funded opportunities that pass a relatively high bar: eight (or more) times as cost-effective as GiveDirectly".
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Note that the EA Global Health and Development Fund "recommends grants to GiveWell top charities as a baseline, but will recommend higher-risk grants they believe to be more effective (in expectation) than GiveWell top charities".