David Johnston

A brief theory of why we think things are good or bad
by David Johnston @ 2024-10-20 | +5 | 0 comments

Longtermism and shorttermism can disagree on nuclear war to stop advanced AI
by David Johnston @ 2023-03-30 | +2 | 0 comments

How much can we learn from other people's guesses?
by David Johnston @ 2023-03-08 | +5 | 0 comments

How likely are malign priors over objectives? [aborted WIP]
by David Johnston @ 2022-11-11 | +6 | 0 comments

When can a mimic surprise you? Why generative models handle seemingly ill-posed...
by David Johnston @ 2022-11-06 | +6 | 0 comments

Governments pose larger risks than corporations: a brief response to Grace
by David Johnston @ 2022-10-19 | +11 | 0 comments

Which possible AI impacts should receive the most additional attention?
by David Johnston @ 2022-05-31 | +10 | 0 comments

[Cross-post] Change my mind: we should define and measure the effectiveness of...
by David Johnston @ 2022-04-06 | +4 | 0 comments

[Cross-post] A nuclear war forecast is not a coin flip
by David Johnston @ 2022-03-15 | +29 | 0 comments

Forecast procedure competitions
by David Johnston @ 2022-01-10 | +10 | 0 comments

Who is working on structured crowd forecasting?
by David Johnston @ 2021-12-20 | +4 | 0 comments