Charles Dillon 🔸
Experienced quant trader, based in London. Formerly a volunteer at Rethink Priorities, where I did some forecasting research. Interested in most things, donations have been primarily to longtermism, animal welfare and meta causes.
Posts
On negotiated settlements vs conflict with misaligned AGI
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2025-11-24 | +10 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2025-11-24 | +10 | 0 comments
How does forecast quantity impact forecast quality on Metaculus?
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-10-01 | +60 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-10-01 | +60 | 0 comments
An analysis of Metaculus predictions of future EA resources, 2025 and 2030
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-09-22 | +50 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-09-22 | +50 | 0 comments
An examination of Metaculus' resolved AI predictions and their implications for...
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-07-20 | +81 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-07-20 | +81 | 0 comments
Data on forecasting accuracy across different time horizons and levels of...
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-05-27 | +125 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-05-27 | +125 | 0 comments
What important questions are missing from Metaculus?
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-05-26 | +38 | 0 comments
by Charles Dillon 🔸 @ 2021-05-26 | +38 | 0 comments