Beyond GiveWell: Higher-Variance Global Development Funding Opportunities

By DavidNash @ 2025-12-29T14:54 (+52)

This is a linkpost to https://gdea.substack.com/p/hits-based-giving-opportunities-2025

There’s extensive research helping donors find cost-effective interventions in global health (GiveWell, etc). But for donors with higher risk tolerance considering hits-based giving without $1m+ to deploy, the landscape is far less mapped.

This post compiles donation opportunities and project ideas across economic growth, health, migration and meta-level infrastructure. This isn’t deep (or even shallow) evaluation, it’s a selection of leads for further investigation.

 

I’m still open for more suggestions if you want to add a comment below.


Economic Growth

Two years ago I asked development people and economists for donation suggestions for supporting economic growth. You can read the full list in the link but I’ve listed the ones below that are more likely to have a funding gap.

Not in the above list but potential to be impactful.


Ambitious Impact

When asking people for hits-based giving suggestions AIM would come up a lot.

I’ve included some of the newer orgs that are more likely to have a funding gap but you can also just speak to AIM to see where they think extra donations will make the biggest difference.


Migration


Health


Funds

I looked into a few different funds to see where they were granting as they will have hopefully done some vetting and analysis. I’ve included examples from different funds where they didn’t receive large grants and don’t look to be based within institutions.


Research & Evidence


Communication & Advocacy


Meta


Tyler Kolota @ 2025-12-30T05:43 (+6)

I’m very skeptical 90% of these options are better than GiveWell All Grants & EA Animal Welfare Fund, but the following two seem like they could be significantly better:

Screwworm Elimination Advocacy

https://manifund.org/projects/anti-screwworm-gene-drive-advocacy
On a per animal basis screwworms are likely much much worse than factory farming as animals are essentially being tortured to death so it may have extra importance. Also elimination could mean a lot of counterfactual suffering averted at lower costs. And given agriculture/rancher interests align with animal welfare here it is more tractable.


MRNA For Lung Diseases

https://manifund.org/projects/mrna-for-pulmonary-fibrosis
The importance of this one is highly dependent on if this intervention could also help in causes of death (CopD/Asthma/Pneumonia/Other-Lung-Diseases 11% of deaths) more common than other neglected diseases like malaria 1.1% deaths, HIV 1.5% deaths, TB 2% deaths. And given lung diseases are also relatively more common in rich countries than other neglected diseases, it may be more tractable to get more funding once it has been pushed past a couple hurdles.

Tyler Kolota @ 2025-12-30T18:15 (+1)

MRNA lung researcher replied:

“… my lead indication is not one of those 3 (Pneumonia, COPD, Asthma), but the further indications I'm testing with my approach does include one of those!”

So this may eventually lead to something to help with a like 2.5%-4.4% cause of death disease.

So I don’t know if it really passes a GiveWell All Grants cost effectiveness threshold at this point without more strong commitment to target something significant like Pneumonia.

Tyler Kolota @ 2025-12-31T01:40 (+1)

More from the researcher…

“If everything went perfectly, from this early stage research to clinical trials to broad deployment, we’d treat about 5% of the current causes of death (most but not all of the 7% chronic respiratory disease category, not pneumonia). It could theoretically be higher if there are e.g. positive effects on cardiovascular disease from healthy lungs, but those kinds of nebulous benefits are hard to predict.

To be clear though I'm sure you know, like all preclinical research it is many millions of dollars and very high chance of failure away from hitting that 5%.”

Jeroen De Ryck 🔹 @ 2025-12-29T17:54 (+3)

This is a great list, thanks for putting this together!

Jonas K @ 2025-12-30T07:40 (+1)

Equiano Institute https://equiano.institute 
Wrapped https://equiano.institute/wrapped