Conflicted on AI Politics

By Jeff Kaufman 🔸 @ 2025-06-11T12:39 (+39)

About twice as many Americans think AI is likely to have a negative effect as a positive one. At a high level I agree: we're talking about computers that are smart in ways similar to people, and quickly getting smarter. They're also faster and cheaper than people, and again getting more so.

There are a lot of ways this could go, and many of them are seriously bad. I'm personally most worried about AI removing the technical barriers that keep regular people from creating pandemics, removing human inefficiencies and moral objections that have historically made totalitarian surveillance and control difficult to maintain, and gradually being put in control of critical systems without effective safeguards that keep them aligned with our interests. I think these are some of the most important problems in the world today, and quit my job to work on one of them.

Despite these concerns, I'm temperamentally and culturally on the side of better technology, building things, and being confident in humanity's ability to adapt and to put new capabilities to beneficial use. When I see people pushing back against rapid deployment of AI, it's often with objections I think are minor compared to the potential benefits. Common objections I find unconvincing include:

I'm quite torn on how to respond when I see people making these objections. On one hand we agree on how we'd like to move a big "AI: faster or slower" lever, which puts us on the same side. Successful political movements generally require accepting compatriots with very different values. On the other hand, reflexively emphasizing negative aspects of changes in ways that keep people from building has been really harmful (housing, nuclear power, GMO deployment). This isn't an approach I feel good about supporting.

Other criticisms, however, are very reasonable. A few examples:

I'd love it if people thought hard about potential futures and where we should go with AI, and took both existential (pandemic generation) and everyday (unemployment) risks seriously. I'm very conflicted, though, on how much to push back on arguments where I agree with the bottom line while disagreeing with the specifics. For now I'm continuing to object when I see arguments that seem wrong, but I'm going to try to put more thought into emphasizing the ways we do agree and not being too adversarial.

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jo3 @ 2025-06-12T14:11 (+1)

Have the discussions you think worth having.
If you enjoy talking AI risks, then go ahead.
If you think it important people make good decisions, then there is likely lower hanging fruit than persuading someone who already roughly agrees on what should be done.

charlesr @ 2025-06-12T09:37 (+1)

The tension between agreeing on the results but differing on the reasoning is something I struggle with too. It's good to be constructive.