OscarD's Quick takes
By OscarD🔸 @ 2025-10-26T00:55 (+6)
nullOscarD🔸 @ 2025-10-26T00:58 (+6)
I am pre-registering my forecasts for the amount of prize money each essay will win. In brief, I expect that these three essays will win just over half the prize money:
- Utilitarians Should Accept that Some Suffering Cannot be “Offset”
- Are longtermist ideas getting harder to find?
- Discussions of Longtermism should focus on the problem of Unawareness
I didn't spend much time on these forecasts though - mainly it is based on karma with an adjustment based on my subjective judgement of the essay's title/summary.