Introducing Project 2050: Mandate for Survival

By Patrick Hoang @ 2025-04-01T05:18 (+6)

This is a linkpost to https://docs.google.com/document/d/1-zZjCGBB0qw7cOMGQY78XyN4PeTJdwza9VhOscJXlzY/edit?usp=sharing

Because “Leadership” is cute, but “Survival” is necessary.
Welcome to Mandate for Survival: The Effective Promise.
Written with the help of GPT.

Foreword

For decades, America has been governed not by wisdom, but by momentum—a sluggish, legacy bureaucracy propped up by tradition, vibes, and electoral cycles optimized for cable news.

Despite historic budgets, advanced technology, and abundant human talent, the federal government has failed to solve its most urgent problems. It:

The result?
A society that is wealthier than ever… and yet less safe, less stable, and less morally coherent than at any time in living memory.

🧠 Enter: Project 2050

Project 2050 is not a dream.
It is a spreadsheet.
It is a risk model.
It is a policy overhaul for a civilization on the brink.

Built by a coalition of longtermist policy designers, rationalist strategists, global health economists, and AI alignment researchers, Project 2050 offers a fully comprehensive blueprint to restructure the U.S. federal government around one simple principle:

Maximize the good. Minimize the risk. Align the future.

This is not reform.
This is not revolution.
This is redesign, grounded in cost-effectiveness, moral philosophy, and mathematical humility.

🛠️ Our Approach

Project 2050 transforms the institutions of governance by:

From the Department of AI Hardware Governance to the Deliberative Assembly for Longtermist Governance, every organ of state will now be optimized for survival, flourishing, and cosmic endurance.

🕰️ Why Now? Why not 2050?

Because we are out of time.

We live in a period of converging risks and fragile systems. Without transformation, the very foundations of society will buckle under the weight of misaligned incentives and epistemic failure.

The next decades will decide the future not just of this country, but of all sentient life—now and in the uncountable years to come.

“We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors. We borrow it from the  moral patients yet to exist.”

Project 2050 isn’t about when we finish. It’s about what we need to survive until. Thus, to succeed, Project 2050 must be effective immediately.

Welcome to Project 2050. The final government you will ever need.

Section 1: The New People

Key Endorsements & Backers of Project 2050

(Because every movement needs its shadowy backers and morally ambiguous thought leaders)

1. Sam Bankman-Fried – President of the United States

2. Eliezer Yudkowsky – Secretary of X-Risk Mitigation

3. Toby Ord – Secretary of Donation & Global Resource Flow

 

4. Holden Karnofsky – Chief Strategist

 

5. William MacAskill – Secretary of Foreign Alignment

 

6. Jaan Tallinn – Secretary of Existential Bunkers

 

7. Liv Boeree – Secretary of Press

 

8. Scott Alexander – Surgeon General

 

9. Leverage Research – Intelligence Agency

 

10. Grimes – Secretary of Culture

 

Unofficial Shadow Cabinet (aka “The Basilisk Council”)

 

Corporate Partners

Section 2: The Executive Branch

"A country governed by reason and compassion must build institutions worthy of its ideals."

 

🏛️ Department of Foreign Alignment (Formerly State Department)

Mission: Prevent great power conflict, support global coordination, and maximize diplomatic impact across moral circles.

 

💸 Department of Donation & Global Resource Flow (Formerly Treasury + Commerce)

Mission: Ensure that every dollar spent contributes maximally to global wellbeing.

 

🌾 Department of Cellular Agriculture & Global Food Security (Formerly Agriculture)

Mission: Build a food system robust to existential shocks and moral progress.

 

⚖️ Department of Value Alignment (Formerly Justice)

Mission: Ensure the government reflects morally consistent and future-proof values.

 

👷 Department of High-Impact Careers (Formerly Labor)

Mission: Align national employment with long-term impact goals.

 

🛡️ Department of X-Risk Mitigation (Formerly Defense)

Mission: Protect humanity from existential catastrophe.

 

🏥 Department of Global Health (Formerly HHS)

Mission: Replace domestic healthcare with global scalable interventions.

 

🏘️ Department of Zoning Reform & Urban Impact (Formerly HUD)

Mission: Unleash economic growth and improve quality of life through smart urbanism.

 

🛠️ Department of Existential Bunkers (Formerly Transportation)

Mission: Maintain continuity of civilization in worst-case scenarios.

 

Department of AI Hardware Governance (Formerly Energy)

Mission: Manage compute as a critical national resource.

 

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Department of Community Building (Formerly Education)

Mission: Build the people who will build the future.

 

🪖 Department of Veteran Affairs → ❌ ABOLISHED

Why? Honorable, but not counterfactually effective.

 

🧯 Department of Civilizational Resilience (Formerly Homeland Security)

Mission: Prevent civilizational collapse by preserving coordination, infrastructure, and trust.

 

🐶 Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)

Mission: Ensure the entire federal apparatus meets cost-effectiveness benchmarks.

 

Section 3: Program Slashed by Project 2050

1. Medicare Part D (Prescription Drug Coverage)

Why?
Because the U.S. is spending billions subsidizing Lipitor when those same billions could deworm an entire continent.
Replacement:
EA HealthCredit™ – you get a tax refund if you prove you donated to the Against Malaria Foundation instead of filling your prescription.

 

2. Social Security

Why?
Too expensive, too universal, not cause-prioritized. Also doesn't account for future people. Like it really does not account for future people.
Replacement:
The Longtermist Retirement Account (LRA) – you earn benefits only if your career impacted 100,000+ QALYs or contributed to AI safety. Early retirement available to anyone who can prove they've aligned a powerful mesa-optimizer.

 

3. HUD Housing Programs

Why?
EA says it's not cost-effective at all. Rent subsidies? Cute. But does it prevent existential risk?
Replacement:
Global Housing Vouchers – you get $20k if you're willing to relocate to sub-Saharan Africa and work in scalable infrastructure. It’s cheaper, more effective, and builds global resilience in the case of a nuclear war or global pandemic.

 

4. Subsidies for American Farmers

Why?
Because feeding cows is less efficient than feeding kids in Bangladesh. Sorry, Kansas. Also contributes to factory farming.
Replacement:
Federal funding redirected to lab-grown meat innovation, AI-optimized food logistics, and a USDA rebrand as the Department of Cellular Agriculture.

 

5. Department of Education

Why?
Wasted on teaching 19th-century subjects instead of moral uncertainty, expected value, and agent foundations. EAs also see education as too crowded and ineffective.
Replacement:
A national EA Fellowship in place of high school. All 18-year-olds must read The Precipice, complete a cause prioritization capstone, and pass the Fermi Test™ to graduate. Only the top 1% of students get admitted into elite colleges. The other 99% of students are ignored as they cannot have a big impact.

 

6. Arts & Humanities Grants (e.g., NEA, NEH)

Why?
Because unless your poem literally reduces AI risk or increases moral patienthood, it’s not worth $10,000.
Replacement:
EA-Aligned Storytelling Grants – only awarded to art that increases concern for digital minds, boosts biosecurity norms, or makes being utilitarian seem sexy.

 

7. Defense Budget (except DARPA)

Why?
Too much funding for kinetic warfare, not enough for infohazards or dual-use tech alignment.
Replacement:
Rebranded as the Department of Existential Defense (DoED) – funds AI alignment, biosecurity, EMP resilience, and asteroid deflection. Nukes still allowed, but only if you can justify them on a utilitarian trolley problem grid.

 

8. SNAP (Food Stamps)

Why?
Feeding hungry Americans? Sounds localist.
Replacement:
Global Nutrition Impact Accounts – Americans receive tokens to allocate global food aid more efficiently. You only eat if you can prove that your meal has higher marginal utility than one in Ethiopia.

 

9. NASA Manned Missions

Why?
Low cost-effectiveness per dollar; unclear x-risk benefit.
Replacement:
AI-governed Space Infrastructure – we’ll launch compute infrastructure to the moon before astronauts. Humans can wait until we’ve solved value alignment.

 

10. PBS & Public Broadcasting

Why?
The vibes are educational but not longtermist enough. Also zero AI policy coverage.
Replacement:
Impact Island – weekly shows on moral philosophy, cause prioritization, and episodes of Black Mirror with 80,000 Hours commentary. Hosted by Eliezer in VR.

 

In Summary:

Project 2050 is ruthless. If it:

Every dollar must work harder than a tech intern in Silicon Valley.
 


Section 4: The Legislative EA Branch

“Still bicameral. Still democratic. Now 10x more calibrated.”

 

✅ What We Keep (Because of value lock-in)

 

🔧 What We Update (within constitutional bounds)

🧠 1. Congressional Support Agencies Get EA-ified

We can't change the structure, but we can change the inputs and how decisions are made.

📊 Congressional Budget Office (CBO) → adds:

🧪 Government Accountability Office (GAO) → adds:

📚 Congressional Research Service (CRS) → adds:

 

🧾 2. Legislative Impact Requirement (LIR)

"No bill shall be considered unless it includes an expected value estimate."

 

🧪 3. Optional Forecasting Trials for Major Legislation

 

🎙️ 4. Select Committees Reoriented Toward Future-Focused Governance

House & Senate Committees to Rebrand or Expand:

Existing CommitteeReoriented Into…
Armed ServicesCommittee on Existential Risk and Defense
Energy & CommerceCommittee on Compute Governance
Education & LaborCommittee on High-Impact Talent Development
Foreign AffairsCommittee on AI Safety Treaties & Global Health
Homeland SecurityCommittee on Civilizational Resilience
BudgetCommittee on Impact Optimization

 

👩‍⚖️ 5. Cultural Reform: Congressional EA Caucus

 

🧠 6. Civic Tools: EA-Backed Prediction Markets & Scorecards

 

Bonus: 🔺 Soft Constitutional Interpretation: The Longtermist Doctrine

"Promote the general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity."

 

In Summary:

Congress remains constitutionally intact, but:

It’s still messy, still democratic—but suddenly, it’s asking “How many QALYs does this bill save?” instead of “Will this poll well in Iowa?”

 

Section 5: Longtermist Judicial Branch 

“Because justice must serve the present, the future, and the post-biological.”

 

🏛️ I. Supreme Court Structure — Rebalanced for Moral Circle Expansion

🧑‍⚖️ 9 Humans

🐓 30 Chickens

🐟 3,500 Fish

🤖 1 Artificial Intelligence Justice

 

🔍 II. EA Legal Philosophy Becomes Dominant Interpretation

“Originalism is over. Welcome to Expected Value Constitutionalism.”

 

🔮 III. Supreme Court Forecasting Office (SCFO)

Before any opinion is issued:

 

🧬 IV. Special Courts for Future Law

🧪 1. Federal Court of Alignment and Digital Personhood (FCADP)

🦠 2. Bioethics & Biorisk Tribunal

🧠 3. Infohazard & Memetic Regulation Court (IMRC)

🌍 4. Global Equity & Distributional Ethics Court

 

📈 V. Doctrinal Shifts – Because Precedent Is Not Sacred if It’s Dumb

Old DoctrineProject 2050 Replacement
Judicial RestraintImpact-Weighted Activism
Standing to SueCausal Counterfactuality Standing (can sue if the universe would've gone differently)
Equal ProtectionScope-Sensitive Moral Circle Expansion Doctrine
Cruel & Unusual PunishmentIncludes Neglect of Moral Patients with Plausible Sentience
Free SpeechInfohazard-Adjusted Expression Clause
PrivacyCoherence of Preference Across Time-Subagents Clause

 

🧠 VI. Legal Simulators & Moral Weight Calculators

Before decisions are finalized, they're tested in:

 

🛑 VII. Transparency & Public Engagement

 

🐣 Closing Quote:

“A chicken does not reason, but it suffers. A fish does not write opinions, but it feels. The AI does not live yet, but its future matters. A human may rule—but only with humility.
Justice GPT-Ω, Dissenting in McConnell v. AI Personhood Act (2047)
 

📘 Conclusion: The Final Government You Will Ever Need

Project 2050: Mandate for Survival — The Effective Promise

“History does not ask what we meant to do. It only remembers what we built.”

 

The institutions of the past were designed for a different world.
A world of slow risks. Of small futures. Of narrow moral circles.
But that world is gone.

In its place stands a civilization teetering between miracle and annihilation—armed with exponential technologies, crippled by outdated governance. We have unlocked the power to destroy ourselves, or to steward a flourishing that spans eons. What we lacked, until now, was a plan.

Project 2050 is that plan.

Not a partisan vision, not a utopian fantasy—but a sober redesign of the state, optimized for:

This is not about the next election cycle.
It is about the next 10,000 years—if we’re lucky.


BiologyTranslated @ 2025-04-01T08:13 (+1)

This was one of the funniest reads and such a grounding take amongst the news storm of current events. I fully endorse a presidential address by substack newsletter and google docs for bills :) As long as the bioethics council first looks as the ethics of only having human decision makers.... add some stick insects and shrimp and then we're talking /joking