Deep Report on Effective Giving in Asia

By Joel Tan🔸 @ 2026-01-04T12:46 (+49)

Note: An initial version of this report was published earlier this year; the report has since been updated, and this forum post with it.

 

Key Takeaway: CEARCH recommends effective giving in Asia as a high impact philanthropic cause.

The full report can be read here.

 

Introduction: This research project evaluated the cause area of effective giving in Asia. We focused in particular on promotion of the 10% pledge, while also investigating other paths to impact like outreach to high net worth individuals (HNWIs) and non-pledge public fundraising. We treated high-income East Asian countries (i.e. Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan & South Korea) as the primary targets, given their high donation potential and CEARCH's greater familiarity with the region.

As with all our research projects, this investigation heavily focused on estimating the cause area's cost-effectiveness using quantitative modelling, while gathering evidence from the scientific literature, expert interviews, and beneficiary surveys.

 

Cost-Effectiveness: We model the cost-effectiveness of effective giving in Asia as a function of (a) the value of pledge donations resulting from a 10% pledge by an Asian pledger; (b) the value of more talent resulting from a 10% pledge by an Asian pledger; and (c) the tractability of 10% pledge promotion in Asia (while applying a number of miscellaneous adjustments to account for other sources of impact like HNWI outreach and non-pledge public donations, and to discount for diminishing marginal returns and bias).

We estimate that effective giving in Asia has a giving multiplier of about 10x GiveWell; it averts the equivalent of 8,106 DALYs per USD 100,000.

Note that this estimate is highly uncertain:

 

Impact: A successful effective giving initiative (EGI) in Asia would have high impact, particularly through (a) securing highly-valuable 10% pledges, (b) engaging institutional grantmakers & HNWIs, and (c) fundraising for non-pledge public donations.

 

Tractability: When evaluating the tractability of promoting effective giving in Asia, we relied on the track record of existing organizations like Charity Box, GWWC and EA Singapore. We also formed an inside view, and took into account various key considerations.

On the negative side:

On the positive side:

CEARCH is cautiously optimistic about the tractability of promoting effective giving in Asia, given the success of existing effective giving initiatives in Asia, the comparatively low budgetary costs, and the fact that marginal returns are probably near constant at the cause area's current funding levels.

 

Ecosystem Factors: On balance, ecosystem-level factors suggest that effective giving work in Asia is valuable; despite the scarcity of local EA talent making it difficult to run effective giving initiatives in Asia, there are significant funding gaps for highly cost-effective interventions, even as money helps fund the discovery of high-impact new ideas.

 

Conclusion: Overall, CEARCH recommends effective giving in Asia as a high impact philanthropic cause, on the basis of:

Concretely, we recommend that:


Sanjay @ 2026-01-04T20:16 (+16)

Great to see you thinking about this, good work.

I would have expected to see more on India.

Joel Tan🔸 @ 2026-01-05T05:22 (+8)

Hi Sanjay!

Impactful Giving was incubated by CE, and its founders Chetan & Jesse are currently working on effective giving promotion in India. I understand that it's been challenging, and getting the general public to give has been particularly difficult, though the HNWI side of things has shown more promise.

We introduced them to Upadhyaya Foundation earlier in 2025, and they've worked together (with India Animal Fund) to start a new India Animal Welfare Funding Circle, which brings donors together to promote both evidence-based giving in AW and also more coordination/information sharing between grantmakers. I'm fairly excited to see how things develop from here.

I will say that the difficulty of promoting effective giving to the (relatively poorer) public in India informed our decision to focus on high-income East Asia, where it's plausible that the man on the street (if sold on the ideas of effective giving) is able and willing to give a few thousand a year.

Cheers,
Joel

Lorenzo Fong Ponce 🔸 @ 2026-01-11T23:43 (+1)

Hey Joel, thanks for the writeup, super insightful!

"the monetary value of an average GWWC pledge as 146 DALYs averted per pledge (equivalent to USD 20,000 in GiveWell donations)"

Is that $20K USD comparable to GWWC's headline figure of $100K USD per 10% pledge, or some other headline metric?

I note two interesting datapoints versus GWWC's figures:

  1. 16 year lifespan vs GWWC's 35.1 <- Less than half of GWWC's lifespan?
  2. 35% counterfactuality adjustment versus GWWC's 33% <- Only +2% uplift versus the Western context?

Not sure how the above parses with this paragraph: "On the positive side, Asian pledgers are counterfactually less likely to do effective giving, and give for a greater number of years."

Joel Tan🔸 @ 2026-01-12T12:43 (+3)

Hi Lorenzo,

(1) The 100k figure from GWWC is unadjusted; once you apply the per annum discounts, GWWC estimates a pledge to be worth USD 15k. So CEARCH's estimate is higher, but not by much.

(2) Similarly, GWWC's 35.1 is unadjusted; in comparison, when we report a 16 year giving lifespan, that adjusting for various temporal discounts (e.g. attrition amongst pledgers).

(3) The 0.35 counterfactual adjustment (and all the estimates from that bulletpoint list) are for the global average / predominantly western pledger. The Asia-specific estimates are different; we don't go into detail here, but we expect the counterfactual coefficient for Asian pledgers to be 0.62, or almost twice as much.

Hope that's helpful.

Lorenzo Fong Ponce 🔸 @ 2026-01-13T21:41 (+1)

Helpful indeed, and thanks for the spreadsheet!