AI Forecasting Research Ideas

By Jaime Sevilla, lennart @ 2022-11-17T17:37 (+78)

This is a linkpost to https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Vva6AW_udvfavtldWuGbqf8NbbzsgEH8mESEX6NlOvM

Overview


Ethan Caballero @ 2022-11-18T13:36 (+1)

> Re: "Extrapolating GPT-N performance" and "Revisiting ‘Is AI Progress Impossible To Predict?’" sections of google doc


Read Section 5.6 titled "The Limit of the Predictability of Scaling Behavior" of "Broken Neural Scaling Laws" paper: 
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.14891v4