New web app for calibration training funded by the Open Philanthropy Project
By Hauke Hillebrandt @ 2018-12-15T15:18 (+17)
This is a linkpost to https://www.openphilanthropy.org/blog/new-web-app-calibration-training
I've tried the offline version of this and found it very enjoyable. I've heard some very smart people say that it's the most valuable 4 hours of rationality training you can do.
babukumaran @ 2018-12-26T05:05 (+1)
Very useful tool. Interesting to know my calibration of CI. Most of the questions are not in my domain of knowledge. I had to use large ranges for most of the questions. Would it make a difference to do a test with questions in a related domain vs something of which I have no idea?
null @ 2018-12-16T10:49 (+1)
Cool, but a fair number of the questions are vague or lack needed context.
Still, I'd agree for people that aren't used to self-calibration with the above assessment that, if not the most valuable, it's really up there on the list of "most valuable 4 hours of rationality training you can do."
null @ 2018-12-17T05:16 (+1)
Vague or context-less questions might help you calibrate your views on topics you know very little about?
I am now somewhat better calibrated at claims about European football than I was before, I guess.
null @ 2018-12-20T12:34 (+1)
Agreed, but a fairly large questions were so ill-specified that I was basically trying to decide what orders of magnitude was relevant for games I not only knew nothing about, but couldn't find clarity even after knowing the answer, over and over.
A sample example I'm making up, but is similar to some of the questions I saw: "England out-scored France in 1982 by how much?" What sport is being referred to? What series, or single game, or Olympics, or season?