Reactive devaluation: Bias in Evaluating AGI X-Risks

Per the LW discussion, I suspect you'd fare better spending effort actually presenting the object level case rather than meta-level bulverism to explain why these ideas (whatever they are?) are getting a chilly reception.

Error theories along the lines of "Presuming I am right, why do people disagree with me?" are easy to come by. Suppose indeed Landry's/your work is indeed a great advance in AI safety: then perhaps indeed it is being neglected thanks to collective epistemic vices in the AI safety community. Suppose instead this work is bunk: then perhaps indeed epistemic vice on your part explains your confidence (complete with persecution narrative) in the work despite its lack of merit.

We could litigate which is more likely - or, better, find what the ideal 'bar' insiders should have on when to look into outsider/heterodox/whatever work (too high, and existing consensus is too entrenched, and you miss too many diamonds in the rough; too low, expert time is squandered submerged in dross), and see whether what has been presented so far gets far enough along the ?crackpot/?genius spectrum to warrant the consultation and interpretive labour you assert you are rightly due.  

This would be an improvement on the several posts so far just offering 'here are some biases which we propose explains why our work is not recognised'. Yet it would still largely miss the point: the 'bar' of how receptive an expert community will be is largely a given, and seldom that amenable to protests from those currently screened out it should be lowered. If the objective is to persuade this community to pay attention to your work, then even if in some platonic sense their bar is 'too high' is neither here nor there: you still have to meet it else they will keep ignoring you.

Taking your course of action instead has the opposite of the desired effect. The base rates here are not favourable, but extensive 'rowing with the ref' whilst basically keeping the substantive details behind the curtain with a promissory note of "This is great, but you wouldn't understand its value unless you were willing to make arduous commitments to carefully study why we're right" is a further adverse indicator.