Update on Our Planned Allocation to GiveWell’s Recommended Charities in 2022

By Alexander_Berger, Peter Favaloro, Open Philanthropy @ 2022-07-11T06:50 (+22)

This is a linkpost to https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/update-on-our-planned-allocation-to-givewells-recommended-charities-in-2022/

Last year, we recommended $300 million of grants to GiveWell’s evidence-backed, cost-effective recommendations in global health and development, up from $100 million the year before. We recently decided that our total allocation for this year will be $350 million. 

That’s a $50 million increase over last year, significantly driven by GiveWell’s impressive progress on finding more cost-effective opportunities. We expected GiveWell to identify roughly $430 million of 2022 “room for more funding” in opportunities at least 8 times more cost effective than cash transfers to the global poor. Instead, we estimate that GiveWell is on track to identify at least $600 million in such opportunities. However, due to reductions in our asset base, the growth in our commitment this year is smaller than the $200 million increase we had projected last fall.

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Guy Raveh @ 2022-07-11T11:52 (+4)

Sorry if this is a stupid question: Does OpenPhil intend to make any changes to its asset portfolio to prevent such drastic declines in value in the future? How diverse is the portfolio (e.g. is it basically just Facebook stocks), and how risky are the things it's invested in?

Tristan Cook @ 2023-02-03T13:26 (+1)

Do you have any updates / plan to publish anything about the Monte Carlo simulation approach you write about in footnote 3?