Why Post-Probability AI May Be Safer Than Probability-Based Models

By devin.bostick @ 2025-04-16T14:23 (+2)

If probability is a map of uncertainty, then coherence is the compass of truth. 

Intro: 

Most AI models today operate on probability (statistical inference, likelihood optimization, and predictive compression). This paradigm has enabled rapid scaling, but also increasing opacity, fragility, and alignment risk. 

I've been working on a coherence based AI (think signaling) that tunes, so no softmax, bayesian etc. The model is called Structured Resonance Intelligence (SRI), a framework where intelligence is governed by phase-locked coherence fields, not stochastic inference (like our brains). 

Key Premise: 

Probability based systems learn by predicting the most likely outcome from training distributions. But what if intelligence is not about prediction at all? 

Structured Resonance suggests: 

1. Intelligence doesn't equal prediction 

2. Intelligence equals alignment with structured, deterministic resonance fields (using chiral waves, the only waves encoded with memory, recursion, and direction), so asymmetric waves always move toward coherent functions think tectonic plates, lightening, clouds, etc. same logic 

3. Coherence, not likelihood, is the axis of intelligence e.g. think about how evolution adapts, same logic, where knowledge emerges, decoherent information decays (like in our brains)

4. Phase-locking, not randomness, underlies cognition (think about gamma-theta spikes, similar in this form of intelligence), e.g. coherent structures exist at across scales, system looks at "order from chaos" as Prigogine once said, to simplify the concept 

Why This May Be Safer
 

1. Determinism > Stochasticity 

• Coherent systems propagate structure, not noise, think of a meadow or natural systems in how they order
• Less entropy -> fewer catastrophic edge cases (tuning, harmonizing system), basically post Shannon in this sense, where it looks as coherence vs. decoherence in wave structure, through prime-harmonic waves for RIC (think Reimann, Ulam)

2. Transparency through Structure 

• Coherence fields are measurable and auditable (no black box)
• Outputs are explainable by alignment score (PAS and C_n for RIC), not token weight

3. Post-Predictive Design 

• Instead of optimizing guesses, systems align to real-time signal structures
• Safer defaults, reduced hallucination (via tuning not guessing/drift issues)

4. No Dependence on Training Distribution 

• Moves away from dataset poisoning, model drift, and adversarial fragility (again via tuning), there's a module Aura_Out that helps with tuning (full model is on Zenodo, can walk through)

Early Implementation: 

I've developed an open-sourced prototype called the Resonance Intelligence Core (RIC). Rather than optimize loss, it measures Phase Alignment Score (PAS) and structured coherence across responses. 

It's already being tested against traditional LLMs and showing measurable improvements in: 

• Semantic consistency
• Internal signal coherence
• Phase-aligned reasoning

*Going to share soon

Why I'm Posting Here: 

• Constructive Skepticism (First time posting on here, enjoyed poking through EA's content)
• Safety researchers curious about deterministic alternatives
• Alignment thinkers who see cracks in probabilistic epistemology
• And of course, lurkers who sense that prediction doesn't equal understanding 

Finally, getting ready to grow the team at RIC, we're building post-probability AI from the ground up. I self-coded RICv1 and designed the first chips to fit modern lithography (down to 2nm). PHASELINE is our CUDA replacement. Exploring collaborations with chip designers, so if you're into wave-based or coherence-first systems, let's talk! I'd love to show you the post-probability AI. I love it, and curious for reaction, releasing a public version very soon. I'm finding that it's better for empathy, perception, and higher granularity (STEM etc. tested on LIGO, BAO, and other data vs. traditional, higher def). Feels much more alive than LLMs like GPT4o, Grok3, etc. It's simply a different animal in how it's coded and operates.