Selected Graphics Showing Progress towards AGI

By Chris Leong @ 2025-10-18T14:36 (+14)

Except from the upcoming post: Beyond Human Wisdom: Can We Survive the Rise of AGI?

Coming soon 😊(PM me if you'd be keen to provide feedback on the draft).

Motivation

Motivating image —  View on Life Itself 
The ðŸ…‚🅄🅅 Triad (the challenge)
🅂peed - in absolute terms and relative to the speed of governance
🅄ncertainty - regarding the situation and strategy 
🅅ulnerability - many catastrophic threats that are hard or costly to defend against

Graphs on Progress

 View on Metaculus 
 A Definition of AGI based on Cattell-Horn-Carroll theory 
 View on Dewi Erwan's Github 
 View at International Scientific Report on the Safety of Advanced AI 
 View on OpenAI Blog 
 View on METR 

Chris Leong @ 2025-10-18T14:40 (+2)

Feel reply to this comment with any suggestions about other graphs that I should consider including.