How much funding is needed to eradicate Malaria?
By Gidi Kadosh @ 2022-06-11T12:41 (+20)
Is funding the main bottleneck for eradicating Malaria using the current most cost-effective interventions? If so, I'm curious about how much additional funding is needed for this goal.
Thanks!
Michael Huang @ 2022-06-11T13:55 (+16)
$90 to $120 billion:
“Any costing of a 25-year eradication effort is speculative and involves uncertainties that increase over time. Nonetheless, initial modeling suggests that the costs of eradicating malaria could be $90–$120 billion between 2015 and 2040.”
From Aspiration to Action (2015)
Geoffrey Irving @ 2022-06-11T14:51 (+9)
Is that any particular confidence interval? It seems implausible that it would be so tight.
Michael Huang @ 2022-06-14T08:18 (+2)
None mentioned in the report. It refers to the Methods section of an online appendix but the appendix doesn't appear to be on the website.
karthik-t @ 2022-06-11T16:59 (+5)
From a quick skim, this doesn't seem to account for the poleward movement of malaria vectors that is likely to occur under climate change (https://www.un.org/en/chronicle/article/climate-change-and-malaria-complex-relationship), which seems like it would increase eradication costs substantially.
Michael Huang @ 2022-06-14T10:43 (+2)
WHO published a report on malaria eradication (2020) that covers megatrends like climate change.
It is similar to other reports in recommending over $6 billion per year to meet targets.
Michael Huang @ 2022-06-14T08:57 (+1)
The Lancet Commission on Malaria Eradication (2019) : "Malaria eradication is likely to cost over $6 billion per year. The world is already spending around $4.3 billion."
If eradication is achieved by 2040, that would be about $120 billion in total.